Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48
000
FXUS62 KTBW 291322
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
922 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2016

.FOR THE MORNING UPDATE...
HIGH PRESSURE SURFACE AND ALOFT PERSISTS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. GRADIENT REMAINS WEAK OVER THE REGION WHICH
WILL ALLOW A WEST COAST SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY TO DEVELOP AND PUSH
INLAND TO THE INTERIOR PENINSULA BY LATE IN THE DAY. 12Z TBW
SOUNDING CONTINUES TO INDICATE LOW CAPE THROUGH A DEEP LAYER. W/V
IMAGERY SHOWS SOME MID LEVEL DRYING TAKING PLACE WHICH COMBINED
WITH SUBSIDENCE OVER THE FORECAST AREA MAY ACT TO INHIBIT
CONVECTION. HOWEVER...WEAK CAPE AND STRONG INSOLATION COMBINED
WITH L/L CONVERGENCE ALONG THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY
SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO OVERCOME NEGATIVE FACTORS AND CREATE A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING...WITH HIGHEST POPS OVER THE INTERIOR.
ONLY UPDATE WILL BE TO NUDGE POPS UP A BIT OVER THE INTERIOR.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...13/OGLESBY
UPPER AIR...13/OGLESBY
DECISION SUPPORT...14/MROCZKA



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.