Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 270513
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
113 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

.Aviation (27/06Z through 28/06Z)...
Generally benign aviation conditions will continue for the duration
of the current TAF period. The forecast will essential be on related
to wind direction...with an afternoon sea-breeze moving inland to
the I-75 corridor by early evening. May see a brief period of MVFR
fog around dawn at KLAL/KPGD...however no significant problems are
anticipated. VFR conditions prevail for the daylight and evening
hours of Monday. Unlikely that we will see a repeat of the isolated
showers from Sunday evening...and will not mention VCSH at any site.
E-SE winds this morning will shift SW-W for coastal terminals during
the afternoon and then W-NW in the evening. As is often the case
with light flow...KPIE will likely see winds go NE for a short time
during midday, with the sea-breeze off the bay, before the Gulf sea-
breeze shifts winds westerly after 19Z.

&&

.Prev Discussion... /issued 848 PM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017/

UPDATE...
Evening satellite imagery shows a well defined sea breeze
along and just to the east of the I-75 corridor this evening
with 88D returns even showing some isolated showers along
the sea breeze from southern Manatee county south to near
Charlotte Harbor. As the evening continues expect the ongoing
showers to wane as the sea breeze circulation collapses and
loss of daytime heating continues with skies becoming mostly
clear later tonight. With light winds and clearing skies we
may see some shallow patchy fog develop over inland locations
overnight, but overall coverage looks too low to introduce
into the grids and zones at this time. Current forecast is
on track with no evening update required at this time.

MARINE...
Onshore sea breeze component along the coast will collapse
in the next hour or so with a light east to southeast wind flow
and slight seas expected overnight. Ongoing forecast is in
great shape with no changes expected in the next forecast
issuance around 9 PM. Tranquil boating conditions will continue
on Monday as surface high pressure remains in control.

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

$$

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  80  64  81  64 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  83  62  84  63 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  83  61  85  63 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  79  61  81  61 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  82  56  83  56 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  79  65  80  65 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

AVIATION...Mroczka
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...McMichael



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