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000
FLUS43 KSGF 201814
HWOSGF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
114 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-211815-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
114 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  ELEVATED TORNADO RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT HAIL RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  ELEVATED FLOODING RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS
  EASTERN KANSAS AND OKLAHOMA ALONG A COLD FRONT DURING THE MID
  AFTERNOON HOURS. SCATTERED STORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
  THE OUTLOOK AREA AHEAD OF THIS ACTIVITY. THE STORMS ALONG THE
  COLD FRONT WILL SPREAD EAST INTO THE AREA DURING LATE THIS
  AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING AND WILL SPREAD EAST THROUGH THE
  OVERNIGHT HOURS. THERE COULD BE MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF STORMS THIS
  EVENING AND TONIGHT.

  SUPERCELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY WITH HAIL TO THE
  SIZE OF BALLS AND DAMAGING WIND INTO EXCESS OF 60 MPH POSSIBLE.
  THE SUPERCELL TORNADO RISK MAY BE LIMITED SOME BY THE CLOUD
  COVER THAT HAS PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING AND EARLY
  AFTERNOON. IF BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS OCCUR AND LOW LEVEL INSTABILITY
  CAN INCREASES THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THESE STORMS THE POTENTIAL
  WOULD BE BETTER.

  A LINE OF STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ACROSS ACROSS KANSAS AND
  OKLAHOMA AND SWEEP ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING. DAMAGING
  WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH WOULD BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY BOWING
  SEGMENTS. THERE WILL ALSO BE A RISK FOR TORNADOES WITHIN THE
  LINE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA DUE TO STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR.

  IN ADDITION...MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS MAY RESULT IN
  HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING. RAINFALL AMOUNT FROM ONE TO TWO
  INCHES WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF THE OUTLOOK AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

  THE RISK OF ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOODING WILL LINGER
  INTO TUESDAY FOR MOST OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS. THE PRIMARY
  CONCERNS FOR TUESDAY WOULD BE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND
  HEAVY RAINFALL .

  A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY BUT
  SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
  EVENING FOR AREAS WEST OF HIGHWAY 65 AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 44
  AND ALL OF THE OUTLOOK AREA DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

WFO SGF