Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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000
FXUS62 KMLB 240231 AAA
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1030 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...

TEMPS ALOFT WERE QUITE WARM AGAIN TODAY...+9C AT 700MB AND -5.5C AT
500MB BOTH AT THE CAPE AND TAMPA. ONE DIFFERENCE WAS THE INFLUX OF
DRIER MID LEVEL AIR FROM THE SE WHICH LIMITED STORM COVERAGE.
ANOTHER EFFECT OF THE DRIER AIR IN THE MID LEVELS WERE THE LARGER
NUMBER OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES THAT WERE PUT DOWN. THESE LATE BOUNDARY
INTERACTIONS ARE WORKING OVER RESIDUAL SFC BASED INSTABILITY AND
THIS ACTIVITY LOOKS TO PERSIST THROUGH MIDNIGHT FROM THE ORLANDO
METRO AREA AND I 4 CORRIDOR WEST INTO SOUTHERN LAKE COUNTY AS
CONVECTION LIFTING NORTH FROM POLK COUNTY INTERACTS WITH A WESTWARD
MOVING OUTFLOW/SEA BREEZE. BUT CONVECTION WILL DIMINISH AND DEBRIS
HIGH CLOUDINESS WILL GRADUALLY THIN TO REVEAL MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.

&&

.AVIATION...
ISOLD TSRA THROUGH 05Z AT SFB/MCO/ISM AND POSSIBLY LEE...OTHERWISE
VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS WITH SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET OVERNIGHT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  74  92  75  91 /  30  30  30  40
MCO  75  93  76  93 /  20  40  30  40
MLB  76  89  77  89 /  20  40  20  30
VRB  74  89  74  89 /  20  40  20  30
LEE  73  94  74  93 /  20  30  30  40
SFB  75  93  76  93 /  30  30  30  40
ORL  75  93  75  93 /  20  40  30  40
FPR  73  89  74  90 /  20  30  20  30

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.

&&

$$

KELLY/BRAGAW






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