Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
FXUS64 KOHX 260005 AAB
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Nashville TN
705 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016
FOR EVENING DISCUSSION.
Showers and thunderstorms have held together much better than
previously thought across Middle Tennessee this early evening so
have raised POPS significantly across much of the forecast area.
Still think the trend is a decreasing one...with the threat for
any strong or severe weather very negligible. Heavy rain is still
a threat...but as mentioned above, the intensity of storms has
waned significantly over the last hour.
Big question still remains if this area of showers and
thunderstorms will hold together and make it to the Cumberland
Plateau over the next 1-3 hours. Current radar trends suggest
yes, although the heavy rain is definitely not expected. Rainfall
should exit/dissipate by 10pm this evening.
Updated current forecast to reflect radar trends and sky cover as
well as lower hourly temperatures where rain has already fallen.
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.
KBNA...Moderate to Heavy TSRA will be impacting the terminal
through 01z with IFR/LIFR visibilities expected. Slow improvement
to MVFR conditions and eventual VFR can be expected after 03z.
Not enough confidence to include any BR or VCTS between 12Z-00Z
KCKV and KCSV...Generally VFR Conditions can be expected over the
next 24 hours. -SHRA will decrease in coverage at KCKV by 01z with
low confidence that any precipitation will even make it to KCSV
and impact the terminal. Possible MVFR visibilities at KCKV...although
not enough confidence to forecast occurrence during this