Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 020043 AAA
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
743 PM EST SUN FEB 1 2015

.UPDATE...
SOUTHERLY FLOW IS BECOMING MORE PRONOUNCED THIS EVENING AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE EVENING SOUNDING SHOWS SOUTHERLY FLOW UP
TO ABOUT 5KFT AS LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO INCREASE ACROSS THE
FL PENINSULA. THIS INCREASING MOISTURE MAY ALLOW FOR SOME PATCHY FOG
TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT ALTHOUGH NOT EXPECTING IT TO BE VERY
WIDESPREAD. CLOUD COVER WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS BUT PRECIP SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL RIGHT AROUND DAYBREAK
TOMORROW. THE CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS SUPER THIS EVENING AND ONLY A
FEW MINOR CHANGES WERE MADE.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS BEFORE MVFR
CIGS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS LOW CLOUDS MOVE IN AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
COLD FRONT. SOME PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT BUT CONFIDENCE
IN OCCURRENCE AT A TERMINAL IS LOW.

&&

.MARINE...
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL TRACK TO NEW ENGLAND COAST
WATERS BY LATE MON...WITH A COLD FRONT SWEEPING THROUGH THE GULF
THEN ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS MON WITH SOME SHOWERS...THUNDER-
STORMS...AND EXERCISE CAUTION WINDS. HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE
GULF TUE THROUGH THU. THIS HIGH SLIDES OFF TO THE EAST DURING THE
END OF THE WEEK AS LOW PRESSURE FORMS ON A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN  THE
GULF. THERE IS SOME UN-CERTAINTY WITH TIMING AND LOCATION OF THIS
LOW BUT THUNDERSTORMS AND ROBUST TO STRONG WINDS MAY BE POSSIBLE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  61  69  45  66 /  10  60   0   0
FMY  61  76  53  72 /  10  40  10   0
GIF  59  74  46  67 /  10  70   0   0
SRQ  61  71  49  67 /  10  60   0   0
BKV  57  70  38  65 /  10  70   0   0
SPG  62  69  50  64 /  10  60   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...11/MCKAUGHAN
MARINE...09/RUDE
DECISION SUPPORT...24/HUBBARD




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