Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 231738
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
138 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

.AVIATION...
23/18Z-24/18Z. BKN mid deck spreads north this afternoon as
all terminals swing to westerly winds. ISOLD TSRA expected
around 20Z-24Z. Generally VFR over night with SCT-BKN
clouds...possible MVFR CIGS TPA and PIE...and LAL and PGD
could see some limited late night BR. Front arrives at the
northern terminals around sunrise with VCSH...AFT 18Z at
southern terminals. Westerly winds begin to pick up toward
the end of the period.

&&

.Prev Discussion... /issued 943 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017/

SHORT TERM (Today)...
An upper level short wave trough off the southwest FL coast
along with a surface trough near the Florida Keys are
providing considerable cloud cover for much of the area
and some heavy rainfall in the far south and southeast.
These two features are easing east and northeast with the
heaviest rain expected to exit the area later this morning.
However a moist and unstable air mass will remain across the
entire area with scattered afternoon showers and
thunderstorms. Expect the heaviest coverage inland due to
an afternoon sea breeze. Forecasts generally on track but
have adjusted weather/POPS/sky/temp for the southern and
southeast counties for the next few hours.

MARINE...
A trough of low pressure tracking across southern FL will
keep winds light and northeast and north but shifting to
westerly in an afternoon sea breeze. Main concern will be
isolated thunderstorms with higher winds and seas.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  70  78  64  81 /  20  20   0   0
FMY  70  82  65  82 /  20  20   0   0
GIF  67  81  61  84 /  40  20   0   0
SRQ  69  78  65  79 /  20  20   0   0
BKV  65  77  57  82 /  20  20   0   0
SPG  70  77  67  79 /  20  20   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&

$$

AVIATION...09/Rude
SHORT TERM/MARINE...09/Rude


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