Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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721 ACUS11 KWNS 132042 SWOMCD SPC MCD 132041 ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-132245- Mesoscale Discussion 1664 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025 Areas affected...Parts of east TX into far southeast OK...northwest LA...southwest/central AR Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 132041Z - 132245Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Storms with locally damaging winds are possible through the remainder of the afternoon. DISCUSSION...Some increase in storm coverage and intensity has been noted within a very moist and strongly buoyant environment across east-central TX, along a composite outflow to the east of a well-defined MCV over central TX. Deep-layer shear is relatively weak, but modest southwesterly low/midlevel flow attendant to the MCV and further outflow consolidation could result in a northeastward-moving storm cluster that will move toward the ArkLaTex region through the remainder of the afternoon. Such a cluster could be accompanied by isolated damaging winds. Additional storm development will be possible ahead of this developing cluster into northeast TX and southwest AR, which may also be capable of producing localized downbursts. ..Dean/Mosier.. 07/13/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LZK...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD... LAT...LON 32119631 33659486 35089343 35329273 35449237 35119174 34389171 33619266 32239336 30479418 30219468 30149530 30119573 30119599 30089649 30399638 31279615 32119631 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH