Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 262325
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262325
TXZ000-270100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0750
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0625 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...SE TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 262325Z - 270100Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...MCS MOVING SLOWLY ACROSS SE TX WILL CONTINUE TO POSE AN
ISOLATED SVR THREAT FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

DISCUSSION...SLOW-MOVING MCS CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY SAG SWD ACROSS
SE TX. VERY MOIST LOW-LEVEL INFLOW HAS HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST
HOUR /BASED ON THE HGX VAD/ WITH SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING
POSSIBLE AS THE LOW-LEVEL JET INCREASES TONIGHT. PRIMARY SVR THREAT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE COMPLEX IS DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS RESULTING
FROM WATER LOADED UPDRAFTS. A FEW OF THE NEW UPDRAFTS DEVELOPING
ALONG THE WRN EDGE OF THE OUTFLOW HAVE EXHIBITED ROTATION AS THEY
TRACK EWD ALONG THE OUTFLOW...WITH LARGE HAIL AND A TORNADO OR TWO
POSSIBLE BEFORE THESE STORMS ARE COMPLETELY UNDERCUT BY OUTFLOW.
ANOTHER LOCALIZED AREA OF GUSTY WINDS IS POSSIBLE NEAR THE
MONTGOMERY/SAN JACINTO COUNTY BORDER WHERE RADAR DATA SUGGESTS A
BOOK-END VORTEX MAY BE DEVELOPING. OVERALL...ISOLATED SVR THREAT
WILL LIKELY CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

..MOSIER/GUYER.. 05/26/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...EWX...

LAT...LON   29939713 30169689 30259633 30469516 30239496 30009488
            29769499 29569551 29459633 29409690 29939713



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