Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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FXUS64 KCRP 020923
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
423 AM CDT SAT AUG 2 2014

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...LAPS DATA CURRENTLY HAS THE
WEAK FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE CWA FROM COTULLA TO BEEVILLE TO PORT
LAVACA. MOISTURE REMAINS ABUNDANT WITH NEAR 2.3 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE AREA. WITH THE FRONT CLOSER IN PROXIMITY...MOISTURE DEPTH
HAS INCREASED AS WELL. THEREFORE...WILL CONTINUE TO EXPECT TO SEE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP ALONG THE BOUNDARY THIS MORNING
AND CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY WITH ANY ADDITIONAL HEATING. SLOW
MOVEMENT OF STORMS IS ALSO EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
LEADING TO POSSIBLE LOCALIZED FLOODING. AS DRIER AIR CONTINUES TO
FILTER IN ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA...RAIN CHANCES
WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE LATE MORNING WITH CHANCES REMAINING
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CWA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT LULL THIS
EVENING SHOULD OCCUR...WITH REDEVELOPMENT OVER THE WATERS TONIGHT
AS REMNANTS OF THE BOUNDARY LAY DRAPED ACROSS THE CWA. THE MAIN
UPPER TROUGH AXIS WILL SWING THROUGH SUNDAY...PUSHING THE BOUNDARY
FARTHER SOUTH. AS THIS OCCURS...REMAINING INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE
WILL LEAD TO SLIGHT CHANCES FOR ACTIVITY MAINLY ACROSS THE WATERS
AND COASTAL BEND LOCATIONS. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE COOLER THAN
DAYS PAST ALTHOUGH REMAIN IN THE 90S THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...EXTENDED PERIOD BEGINS
WITH THE USUAL SUMMER HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BEGINNING TO REASSERT
ITSELF OVER THE EFFECTS OF AN UNSEASONABLE FRONTAL BOUNDARY.
PRECIPITABLE WATER AMOUNTS RETURN TO NEAR SEASONABLE LEVELS AND
THERMAL PROFILES INDICATE WARMER TEMPERATURES ALOFT...ALL OF WHICH
WILL COMBINE TO MAKE PRECIPITATION LESS AND LESS LIKELY AS THE WEEK
PROGRESSES.

THOSE WARMER TEMPERATURES APPEAR LIKELY TO TRANSLATE INTO CONTINUED
NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEK. EXPECT
HEAT INDICES TO REMAIN ELEVATED BUT BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. MARINE
FLOW SHOULD REMAIN NEARLY STEADY STATE WITH TYPICAL DIURNAL
VARIATIONS. GRADIENT MAY TIGHTEN A SMALL AMOUNT TOWARD THE END OF
NEXT WEEK...BUT SHOULD REMAIN SAFELY BELOW SCA VALUES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    93  76  95  74  94  /  30  20  20  20  20
VICTORIA          93  73  95  73  94  /  10  10  10  10  20
LAREDO            98  78  99  80 100  /  30  20  10  10  10
ALICE             95  75  97  73  97  /  30  20  20  10  20
ROCKPORT          90  77  90  78  91  /  30  20  20  20  20
COTULLA           96  75  98  76  98  /  20  10  10  10  10
KINGSVILLE        95  75  96  74  95  /  30  20  20  10  20
NAVY CORPUS       90  78  90  78  91  /  30  20  20  20  20

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

CB/85...SHORT TERM
JV/71...LONG TERM





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