Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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000
FXUS64 KCRP 052357 AAA
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
657 PM CDT THU MAY 5 2016

.DISCUSSION...SEE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...EXCEPT FOR SOME 5SM BR AT KALI BEFORE SUNRISE (10Z-
14Z)...VFR WITH SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS TONIGHT/OVERNIGHT...AND
MAYBE SOME FEW CLOUDS AROUND 4000 FEET DURING THE AFTERNOON. LIGHT
MAINLY ELY WINDS TONIGHT WITH AN INCREASE IN ESE/SE WINDS ON
FRIDAY DURING THE DAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 330 PM CDT THU MAY 5 2016/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)...QUIET WEATHER WILL
CONTINUE DURING THE SHORT TERM PART OF THE FORECAST. UPPER AIR
PATTERN WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY OMEGA BLOCK...WITH UPPER RIDGE
OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS WITH TROUGHS OVER THE WEST AND EAST COASTS.
DRY AIRMASS WILL RESIDE OVER SOUTH TEXAS AS PW VALUES WILL
GENERALLY REMAIN 0.75 INCHES. AS A RESULT...CHANCES FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SLIM TO NONE DURING THE SHORT TERM. SFC
HIGH WILL SHIFT OFF TO THE EAST ON FRIDAY...ONSHORE FLOW RETURNING
TO THE REGION. HIGHS TOMORROW WILL BE SIMILAR TO TODAY...RANGING
FROM THE MIDDLE 90S OVER THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS TO MIDDLE 80S OVER
THE NORTHERN COASTAL BEND AND VICTORIA CROSSROADS. AS WESTERN
TROUGH SLOWLY NUDGES EASTWARD...ANTICIPATE AN INCREASE IN HIGH
CLOUD COVER BY END OF THE SHORT TERM.

LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...ONSHORE FLOW WILL INCREASE
OVER THE WEEKEND AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS FURTHER EAST. OMEGA
BLOCK PATTERN BREAKS DOWN OVER THE WEEKEND AS UPPER TROUGH/LOW OVER
THE EAST COAST MOVES AWAY FROM THE REGION.  INFLUENCES FROM THE
UPPER LOW OVER THE SOUTHWEST CONUS REMAIN MOSTLY FURTHER NORTH OF
SOUTH TEXAS...BUT A FEW PASSING SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCES ALONG WITH A
DRY LONG PUSHING IN FROM THE WESTERN CWA WILL PROVIDE FOR SOME
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE NORTHERN
COASTAL BEND AND VICTORIA CROSSROADS.  TUESDAY WILL ALSO BRING THE
SLIGHT CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION AS
WEAK SHORTWAVES PASS THE REGION.  RIDGING THEN BUILDS BACK INTO THE
REGION BY THE MID TO LATE WEEK.

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO CLIMB INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.  H85 TEMPS
OVER THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS AND BRUSH COUNTRY RANGE BETWEEN 23C AND
25C WITH DRY LINE MOVING IN...AND EXPECT AT LEAST UPPER 90S (COULD
STILL SEE 100F REACHED) OVER THESE AREAS EARLY NEXT WEEK. IN
ADDITION...ONSHORE FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN OVER THE WEEKEND...WITH
BUILDING SEAS...AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    63  89  66  84  72  /   0   0   0  10  10
VICTORIA          58  87  62  84  68  /   0   0   0  10  10
LAREDO            64  96  68  92  72  /   0   0   0  10  10
ALICE             59  91  63  88  70  /   0   0   0  10  10
ROCKPORT          67  86  70  81  74  /   0   0   0  10  10
COTULLA           61  94  64  91  69  /   0   0   0  10  10
KINGSVILLE        61  91  65  87  71  /   0   0   0  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       68  86  70  81  74  /   0   0   0  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

GW/86...AVIATION


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