Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 280000
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
600 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2015

.AVIATION...
WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING SOME LIGHT SNOW TO THE
NORTHERN TAFS THIS EVENING. A SECOND DISTURBANCE WILL BRING
ANOTHER CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW LATE IN THE PERIOD TO GENERALLY THE
SAME PLACES. WIDESPREAD MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS
THE NORTH WITH MVFR TO VFR CONDITIONS OVER THE SOUTH. EAST TO
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL GENERALLY PREVAIL.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 343 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2015/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT

SNOW DEVELOPED ACROSS OKLAHOMA TODAY...BUT DRIER AIR NEAR THE
SURFACE HAS ALLOWED PRECIPITATION TO EVAPORATE BEFORE REACHING THE
GROUND. MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO SATURATE THE ATMOSPHERE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...WITH SNOW POSSIBLE MAINLY ACROSS THE
OUACHITAS. SNOW AMOUNTS WILL GENERALLY LIGHT...HALF AN INCH OR
LESS...AND TAPER OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT.

THERE WILL BE A BREAK IN PRECIPITATION TONIGHT...BEFORE THE NEXT
WAVE MOVES OVER THE REGION SATURDAY AFTERNOON. WITH DEWPOINTS MUCH
HIGHER AND UPPER JET PROVIDING LIFT...EXPECT SNOW TO ACCUMULATE IN
AREAS NEAR THE MISSOURI BORDER. AS OF NOW...ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE
AROUND AN INCH OF LESS...BUT WILL NEED TO MONITOR LATEST GUIDANCE IF
ANY WINTER WEATHER HEADLINES ARE NEEDED.

PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE SATURDAY NIGHT...AND AS TEMPERATURES
WARM...THERE WILL BE A CHANGEOVER TO LIGHT FREEZING RAIN ACROSS THE
NORTH. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM ABOVE FREEZING AREA WIDE SUNDAY
MORNING.

AS COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION AND STALLS SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PATTERN WILL BE ACTIVE IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD...ESPECIALLY
EARLY. IT WILL WARM UP MARKEDLY ON TUESDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
ARRIVING FROM THE PLAINS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME
LIKELY AS THE FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION.

THE FRONT MAY STALL FOR A TIME TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY
MORNING...WITH SHOWERS/A FEW THUNDERSTORMS REMAINING POSSIBLE MAINLY
OVER THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF ARKANSAS.

A SECONDARY FRONT WILL SURGE ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY...WITH
THE BRIEF PERIOD OF SPRING COMING TO A CLOSE. WINTER WILL COME
BACK...WITH TEMPERATURES ON THE WAY DOWN. CHANCES FOR RAIN REMAIN
IN THE FORECAST...WITH PRECIPITATION ENDING AS A FEW SNOWFLAKES
WEDNESDAY EVENING. THIS DOES NOT LOOK LIKE ANYTHING MAJOR.

THE PERIOD WILL END WITH CLOUDS DECREASING ON THURSDAY...AND BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES THURSDAY/FRIDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     20  37  32  46 /  10  20  30  60
CAMDEN AR         25  44  38  55 /  10  10  20  60
HARRISON AR       17  31  30  42 /  20  60  50  60
HOT SPRINGS AR    23  38  35  47 /  20  20  20  60
LITTLE ROCK   AR  23  39  34  48 /  10  20  20  60
MONTICELLO AR     25  45  38  56 /  10  10  10  60
MOUNT IDA AR      22  38  35  46 /  30  20  30  60
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  17  32  30  43 /  20  50  40  60
NEWPORT AR        20  38  33  46 /  10  20  30  60
PINE BLUFF AR     25  42  36  52 /  10  10  20  60
RUSSELLVILLE AR   21  36  33  45 /  20  20  30  60
SEARCY AR         21  39  32  47 /  10  20  30  60
STUTTGART AR      23  40  35  49 /  10  10  20  60
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...56




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