Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KLZK 311950
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
250 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

.SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Wednesday night

Thunderstorms in southeastern Oklahoma should continue to progress
eastward into the southern half of Arkansas this afternoon...with
scattered convection expected to last/develop through the evening
hours. Coverage of showers after sunset should lessen as diurnal
trends takeover, however expect there to be some isolated to
scattered showers even during the overnight hours.

For Wednesday and Wednesday night, an upper low currently over
southern Arizona will begin to creep into Texas. With a continued
tap on gulf moisture, and a weak boundary forecast to be situated
in northern or northwestern Arkansas by Wednesday afternoon, more
widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop.

&&

.LONG TERM...Thursday Through Tuesday

Upper level pattern to remain progressive during the extended term,
with a mean trof across the eastern half of the country giving way
to a ridge by the end of the term.

Across Arkansas the extended term will begin with a NWLY flow aloft
which will allow a couple of fronts to drop down and move thru the
state, namely on Thurday and again on Friday night. Will keep POPs
fairly high until Friday night and will then back off a bit until
late in the weekend...where the weather will turn dry once again.

Some weak ridging aloft will set in place after the weekend...as a
trof starts to dig in across the southwest...setting up a swly flow
aloft. Looking ahead beyond the extended term...a sfc high to the
east will have a southerly return flow back across the area...and
the trof to the west should start to kick out some shortwaves...so i
would expect to see storms returning to the forecast by the middle
of next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     66  83  66  80 /  30  40  60  60
Camden AR         69  86  68  83 /  30  50  60  60
Harrison AR       63  78  62  74 /  50  60  50  60
Hot Springs AR    67  83  67  80 /  30  60  60  70
Little Rock   AR  69  87  68  83 /  30  50  60  60
Monticello AR     70  87  69  86 /  30  30  50  60
Mount Ida AR      66  81  65  78 /  40  70  60  70
Mountain Home AR  65  81  64  76 /  30  50  50  60
Newport AR        67  85  68  82 /  30  40  60  60
Pine Bluff AR     69  86  69  83 /  30  40  50  60
Russellville AR   67  83  66  79 /  40  60  60  70
Searcy AR         67  85  67  82 /  30  40  60  60
Stuttgart AR      70  86  69  83 /  30  40  50  60
&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

$$

Short Term...64 / Long Term...53



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.