Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FXUS64 KSJT 271107 AAA
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
607 AM CDT Thu Jul 27 2017

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

VFR conditions and mostly clear skies are expected through the
next 24 hours. Any patchy low cloud development over parts of the
Hill Country early this morning and again early Friday morning is
expected to stay south of our southern terminals. Winds will be
from the south-southwest this morning, backing to south-southeast
by late this afternoon and evening. A few gusts 17-19 knots are
possible this afternoon and early evening.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 401 AM CDT Thu Jul 27 2017/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

The upper high, which is currently centered over the southern
Plains, will shift slightly to the west over New Mexico and Colorado
during the next 24 hours. This feature remains our dominant
influence with mostly sunny skies expected today. Highs this
afternoon will be similar to yesterday, but should be about a degree
warmer across our central and northern counties where an upward
creep in 850mb temperatures is indicated. Clear and warm conditions
are expected tonight, with overnight lows mostly in the mid 70s. A
few upper 70s are possible for lows in some of our northern
counties. A weak cold front will move south across the Texas
Panhandle and the northern half of Oklahoma today. This front is
expected to continue moving south tonight, and should be along or
just south of the Red River by sunrise Friday. Our area will have a
continuation of south winds through the next 24 hours.

LONG TERM...
(Friday through Wednesday)

All indications continue to be that the large upper level high
pressure will gradually shift farther west into early next week.
Ridge axis may be far enough west and weakened enough to allow for
a few showers and storms across the northern Big Country as early
as Friday Night and Saturday. A little better chance of convection
for Sunday across more of the area, although ridge is still close
enough to hinder chances. Stronger northwest and northerly flow
aloft finally makes it into the area for early next week, so best
chance for more widespread activity looks to be Monday-Wednesday.

Continued hot into the weekend, with afternoon highs from the mid
90s to near the 100 degree mark in some locations. A little cooler
next week as an increase in cloud cover allows temperatures to
drop off a couple degrees.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 100  76  99  75 /   0   0   5  10
San Angelo 101  75 100  74 /   0   0   5   5
Junction  98  73  99  72 /   0   0   5   5
Brownwood 100  74  99  74 /   0   0   5  10
Sweetwater  99  75  98  74 /   0   0   5   5
Ozona       98  73  97  72 /   0   0   0   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Aviation and Short Term: 19
Long Term: 07



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