Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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000
FXUS64 KCRP 291559 AAB
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1059 AM CDT FRI AUG 29 2014

.DISCUSSION...ANALYSIS THIS MORNING INDICATED SFC TROUGHING
ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WHILE A MID LEVEL SHEAR AXIS WAS DRAPED
FROM ROUGHLY MCALLEN NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST.
HAVE MADE SIGNIFICANT ADJUSTMENTS TO POPS FOR REMAINDER OF TODAY
AS MORNING CONVECTION ACROSS EASTERN THIRD OF CWA AND ADJACENT
MARINE AREAS HAS AIDED IN STABILIZATION OF THE ATMOSPHERE. HAVE
REDUCED POPS FOR WESTERN AND SOUTHERN AREAS FOR REST OF THIS
MORNING AND REDUCED POPS FOR ALL BUT ROUGHLY THE NORTHERN HALF OF
THE CWA FOR THIS AFTERNOON. GREATEST INSTABILITY THIS AFTERNOON IS
FORECAST TO OCCUR ROUGHLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM FREER TO
BEEVILLE TO VICTORIA WITH GREATEST CONVECTIVE COVERAGE CURRENTLY
EXPECTED TO BE ALONG THIS CORRIDOR /AND POINTS NORTH AND EAST/.
THIS AREA WILL ALSO BE CLOSEST TO A H25 TROUGH DIGGING INTO TEXAS
WHICH SHOULD ALSO AID IN CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. OTHER CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST WERE TO REDUCE MAX TEMPS SLIGHTLY ACROSS SE ZONES AND
TO RAISE TEMPS ACROSS THE BRUSH COUNTRY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    88  78  92  78  96  /  30  40  40  20  30
VICTORIA          93  76  93  76  98  /  50  30  40  20  30
LAREDO           100  79  98  79 103  /  20  30  20  20  10
ALICE             91  77  93  76  99  /  30  30  30  20  20
ROCKPORT          88  79  90  79  93  /  50  40  40  20  30
COTULLA           99  76  97  76 101  /  20  20  20  20  10
KINGSVILLE        91  78  92  78  98  /  30  40  30  20  20
NAVY CORPUS       87  80  89  80  92  /  50  50  40  20  30

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: ARANSAS...CALHOUN...KLEBERG...NUECES.

GM...NONE.

&&

$$

UPDATE...HART/79




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