National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office

• Home
• Site Map
• News
• Organization
• Search for: NWS All NOAA 

000
FXUS64 KCRP 192357 AAA
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
657 PM CDT SAT APR 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR THE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR THIS EVENING...WITH MVFR/IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS
DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT. QUICK NOTE...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
FIRING UP ALONG THE SIERRA MADRE IN MEXICO WITH SLOW MOVEMENT
EASTWARD. CURRENTLY NO STORMS ARE WITHIN RANGE OF LRD. WITH THE
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING THROUGH THE EVENING...SHOULD SEE STORMS
BEGIN TO DISSIPATE. FOR NOW WILL LEAVE OUT OF LRD TAFS AS
DEVELOPMENT REMAINS WELL FAR WEST OF THE SITE. WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE SITUATION AND AMEND SHOULD STORMS BEGIN TO DEVELOP
CLOSER TO THE AREA.

OTHERWISE...SOUTHEAST 10-15KT WIND WILL DECOUPLE LATE THIS
EVENING FROM EAST TO WEST...WITH MOISTURE CONTINUING TO MOVE INTO
SOUTH TEXAS. LOW LEVEL STRATUS WITH MVFR/IFR BKN/OVC EXPECTED
AFTER 06Z FOR LRD-ALI-CRP...WITH LIFR POSSIBLE SHORTLY THEREAFTER
THROUGH AT LEAST 14Z. VCT SHOULD BE A BIT SLOWER TO DEVELOP
STRATUS. PATCHY FOG IS ONCE MORE POSSIBLE FROM ALI-VCT...WITH
LOWER VISIBILITIES AT VCT DUE TO SLOWER STRATUS DEVELOPMENT.
CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO IMPROVE THROUGH THE LATE
MORNING WITH WINDS INCREASING...BECOMING VFR BY EARLY AFTERNOON.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 337 PM CDT SAT APR 19 2014/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...UPPER LOW OVER
SOUTHERN ARIZONA WILL CONTINUE TO BRING AN INCREASE IN MID AND
UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE OVER SOUTH TEXAS...WITH ESE TO SE LOW LEVEL
WINDS BRINGING IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO THE REGION. THIS WILL
RESULT IN A MOSTLY CLOUDY NIGHT WITH MILD LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE
60S OVER THE REGION. SIMILAR TO LAST NIGHT...SOME PATCHY FOG MAY
BE POSSIBLE AS WELL. UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST
TONIGHT. ANY CONVECTION THAT FIRES OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
MEXICO COULD APPROACH THE RIO GRANDE...SO HAVE LEFT SLIGHT CHANCE
POPS OVER THE FAR WESTERN ZONES. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ON SUNDAY
AS PW VALUES CLIMB TO AROUND 1.5 TO 1.6 INCHES AS UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH MOVES INTO THE PANHANDLE/SOUTH PLAINS. CAP MAY BE TOUGH TO
OVERCOME TOMORROW BUT WILL LEAVE THE SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS/STORMS
IN THE FORECAST. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE MIDDLE 80S OUT
WEST TO LOWER 80S IN THE NORTHEAST. PLENTY OF CLOUD COVER WILL BE
AROUND AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT WITH ANOTHER MILD NIGHT IN THE 60S
EXPECTED.

LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...ONE LAST SHORT WAVE IS PROGD
MON/MON NIGHT BEFORE RIDGING BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA. THEREFORE...KEPT
A SLIGHT CHC ON MON AND SHOWED A DRYING TREND FROM NW TO E MON
NIGHT/TUE. MODELS SHOW A WEAK MODIFYING COLD FRONT MOVE INTO S TX
ON TUE PROVIDING ENOUGH LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE FOR A SLIGHT CHC OF
PRECIP ACROSS THE NE CWA AND OVER THE WATERS WITH THE EXITING
UPPER SHORT WAVE. OVERALL...TUE WILL BE GENERALLY WARMER WITH LESS
CLOUDS. NOT MUCH CAA BEHIND THE WEAK FRONT AS IT DISSIPATES TUE
NIGHT WITH ONSHORE FLOW QUICKLY RETURNING TO THE AREA. THE UPPER
RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH WED WITH LITTLE TO NO
RAIN EXPECTED AND TEMPS REMAINING ABV NORMAL. A SERIES OF SHORT
WAVES ARE PROGD TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THE LATTER PART OF THE
WEEK...BUT WITH NO OTHER SUPPORT AND LIMITED MOISTURE...KEPT
SILENT 10 POPS IN PLACE ALONG WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS. THE ONLY
OTHER WEATHER EXPECTED WILL BE LATE NIGHT/EARLY MORNING PATCHY FOG
THROUGH THE WEEK. COULD SEE DENSE FOG MON NIGHT/TUE MORNING AHD OF
THE FRONTAL BDRY BUT WILL HOLD OFF MENTIONING DENSE FOR NOW THIS
FAR OUT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    64  79  65  81  66  /  10  20  20  20  20
VICTORIA          62  80  63  81  63  /  10  20  20  20  20
LAREDO            67  86  69  88  69  /  20  20  10  20  10
ALICE             63  82  65  84  65  /  10  20  20  20  20
ROCKPORT          65  75  67  78  67  /  10  20  20  20  20
COTULLA           64  83  65  86  65  /  20  20  10  20  10
KINGSVILLE        64  81  66  83  66  /  10  20  20  20  20
NAVY CORPUS       65  74  67  77  68  /  10  20  20  20  20

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

CB/85...AVIATION