Area Forecast Discussion
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000
FXUS62 KKEY 291824
AFDKEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
225 PM EDT FRI MAY 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...
.CURRENTLY...
KBYX DETECTS NO PRECIPITATION ECHOES. SKIES OVER THE ISLAND CHAIN
ARE PARTLY CLOUDY. WINDS OVER LAND ARE EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15
MPH. C-MAN WINDS...ON AVERAGE...ARE EAST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS.
TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S.

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...
AN ATLANTIC RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND ACROSS THE CAROLINAS
TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...BEFORE SHIFTING SOUTHWARD SUNDAY NIGHT.
RAIN CHANCES IN THE SHORT TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST SHOULD BE
HIGHEST SATURDAY MORNING DUE TO THE ANTICIPATED PRESENCE OF A WEAK
DISTURBANCE PROGRESSING THROUGH THE SERVICE AREA ALONG THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY OF THE AFOREMENTIONED RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE.

.LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...
AN ATLANTIC RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND ACROSS THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MAY
STRENGTHEN NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A
RATHER WET PERIOD OF WEATHER IS POSSIBLE TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AS DEEP...TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE CARIBBEAN INVADES THE FORECAST
AREA. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE TRENDED TOWARD CLIMATOLOGICAL VALUES
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
MODERATE EAST BREEZES WILL PREVAIL ON ALL KEYS COASTAL WATERS
TONIGHT. NO ADVISORIES OR CAUTIONARY HEADLINES EXPECTED TONIGHT
THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY. SUSTAINED EAST SURFACE WINDS OF 15 TO 20
KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE FLORIDA STRAITS
TUESDAY NIGHT. SUSTAINED EAST TO SOUTHEAST SURFACE WINDS OF 15 TO 20
KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE GULF OF MEXICO AND
ATLANTIC WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION...
THROUGH 30/18Z...PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT BOTH EYW
AND MTH. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE PRECIPITATION WILL
DEVELOP MAINLY AFTER 30/00Z AND MOVE FROM 080/13KT ACROSS THE
FLORIDA KEYS AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. HOWEVER...THE CHANCE FOR
SUB-VFR CEILINGS OR VISIBILITIES AT EYW OR MTH IS TOO SLIM FOR
EXPRESSION IN SCHEDULED TERMINAL FORECASTS.

&&

.CLIMATE...
ON THIS DATE IN FLORIDA KEYS WEATHER HISTORY...IN 1960...2.04 INCHES
OF RAIN FELL AT KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT. THIS SET THE DAILY
RECORD FOR MAXIMUM RAINFALL MEASURED IN KEY WEST ON MAY 29TH...A
RECORD WHICH STILL STANDS 55 YEARS LATER. RAINFALL RECORDS AT KEY
WEST DATE BACK TO 1871.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KEY WEST  78 87 79 87 / 20 30 20 20
MARATHON  78 89 78 89 / 20 30 20 20

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE/CLIMATE/FIRE/DIGITAL...BS
AVIATION.............................KBK
DATA ACQUISITION.....................FLING

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