Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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FXUS64 KMEG 180929
AFDMEG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
329 AM CST THU DEC 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...

SKIES REMAIN CLOUDY OVER MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA EARLY THIS
MORNING WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. A LARGE AREA OF
PRECIPITATION IS MOVING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AT THIS TIME.
PRECIPITATION IS MAINLY IN THE FORM OF RAIN WITH SOME SLEET MIXED
IN AT TIMES MAINLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF WEST TENNESSEE. AS THE BAND
OF PRECIPITATION CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST THIS MORNING THERE COULD
BE SOME SLEET MIXED IN WITH THE RAIN AT TIMES. MOST OF THE
PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE OUT OF THE REGION BY THIS AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ON THE CHILLY SIDE AS CLOUDS WILL REMAIN
OVER THE FORECAST AREA. HIGHS TODAY WILL BE MAINLY IN THE 40S.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY BUILD INTO THE REGION TONIGHT BUT
CLOUDS WILL LIKELY REMAIN OVER THE FORECAST AREA. TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN CHILLY WITH LOWS MAINLY IN THE 30S.

ON FRIDAY...LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER SOUTH TEXAS AND MOVE
NORTHEAST REACHING SOUTHWEST ALABAMA BY SATURDAY MORNING. THIS LOW
WILL SPREAD LIGHT RAIN OVER THE FORECAST AREA FRIDAY AND FRIDAY
NIGHT. AS TEMPERATURES COOL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT A MIX OF RAIN AND
SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA. AS THE LOW SLIDES FURTHER EAST ON SATURDAY...PRECIPITATION
WILL BE ENDING OVER EASTERN SECTIONS.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL OF THE WEATHER FOR SATURDAY
NIGHT AND SUNDAY KEEPING THINGS DRY AND CONTINUED UNSEASONABLY
COOL. A NEW STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL U.S. ON
MONDAY BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN TO THE FORECAST AREA. THE
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ON
TUESDAY WITH MORE RAIN EXPECTED. AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES TOWARD
THE EAST COAST ON WEDNESDAY RAIN WILL BE ENDING OVER THE FORECAST
AREA.

ARS

&&

.AVIATION...

06Z TAF CYCLE

VICINITY SHOWERS AND LIGHT RAINFALL IS CURRENTLY ONGOING ACROSS
ALL TERMINALS...HOWEVER...CIGS HAVE REMAINED ABOVE 7000 FT FOR
THE MOST PART. EXPECT THAT THESE WILL LOWER THROUGH THE NIGHT IN
CONTINUED SHOWER ACTIVITY. THERE COULD BE SOME SLEET MIX IN
SPORADICALLY AT JBR HOWEVER THE LARGE MAJORITY OF THIS ACTIVITY
SHOULD STAY NORTH. FOR THURSDAY...SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE MORNING WITH SOME FOG...ESPECIALLY EARLY. NOT A GREAT FOG
SIGNAL AT THIS TIME BUT HAVE AT LEAST MENTIONED IT IN THE TAFS.
THERE IS A GOOD SIGNAL THAT CIGS WILL FALL TO BELOW MVFR FOR THE
MAJORITY OF THE DAY TOMORROW. TUP SHOULD BE THE FIRST TO BEGIN
SEEING IMPROVEMENTS THURSDAY NIGHT.

TVT

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$


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