Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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FXUS64 KMEG 251207

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
707 AM CDT Tue Oct 25 2016


Updated for the 12z Aviation Discussion.


.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 346 AM CDT Tue Oct 25 2016/

At 3AM, A mild night in ongoing across the Mid-South.
Temperatures are in the 50s areawide under clear skies. A weak
surface front was analyzed from Little Rock, Arkansas southeast
back down through Tupelo, Mississippi. This boundary is expected
to lift northeast this afternoon, shifting winds back around to
the south. No rain or clouds are expected, just warm temperatures.
Highs will once again rise into the middle 70s and lower 80s this

The only weather to speak over the next 8 days is a weak front
that is progged to move through the Mid-South late Wednesday
night into early Thursday morning. With weak forcing and limited
moisture in place, just a slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms will be possible. Each model run has generated less
and less precipitation, which is not good news for drought
stricken parts of the Mid-South. Beyond that, benign weather will
be the rule through the middle of next week as an upper level
ridge sets up across the southern United States. Temperatures will
continue to remain 10 to 15 degrees above normal, with highs in
the upper 70s and lower 80s and lows in the 50s.

Before the end of October, there will likely be a few records
broken with this extended period of warmth. As it stands, through
the first 24 days of October, we are on our way to at least a top
10 warmest October on record.




VFR conditions along with light east to southeast winds can be
expected through the period.




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