National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rain Continues in South-central Texas; Heat Wave in California

A slow moving front will maintain the threat of flash/urban flooding across southern and central Texas today and the Central Gulf Coast and Southeast through the weekend. Abnormally, potentially record-breaking temperatures will impact southern California and stretch north toward the Bay Area and Central Valley through next week. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Falfurrias, Brooks County Airport (KBKS)

Lat: 27.21°NLon: 98.12°WElev: 112ft.

Light Rain Fog/Mist

77°F

25°C

Humidity 100%
Wind Speed NE 5 mph
Barometer 29.91 in
Dewpoint 77°F (25°C)
Visibility 5.00 mi
Heat Index78°F (26°C)
Last update 2 Oct 9:35 am CDT
Extended Forecast for

Concepcion TX

Flood Watch October 2, 09:54am until October 2, 07:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch October 2, 09:54am until October 2, 07:00pm

    NOW until 7:00pm Fri

    Flood Watch

  • Today

    High: 87 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 9pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 9pm. Low around 72. Calm wind becoming north 5 to 7 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 72 °F

    Showers then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Heat index values as high as 96. North wind 9 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 88 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 4am, then showers likely. Low around 72. North wind 6 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 72 °F

    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 10am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 84. North wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 84 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. North wind 7 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.

    Low: 70 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Monday

    Monday: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. North northeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 86 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. Light north wind increasing to 5 to 9 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.

    Low: 69 °F

    Partly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

Today
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 10am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 10am and 5pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 87. Heat index values as high as 95. Calm wind becoming northeast 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 9pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 9pm. Low around 72. Calm wind becoming north 5 to 7 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Saturday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Heat index values as high as 96. North wind 9 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 4am, then showers likely. Low around 72. North wind 6 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Sunday
Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 10am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 84. North wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Sunday Night
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. North wind 7 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Monday
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. North northeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. Light north wind increasing to 5 to 9 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 89. North wind 9 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 68.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 90.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 68.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 90.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Concepcion TX
 27.39°N 98.26°W
Last Update:
1:41 am CDT Oct 2, 2026
Forecast Valid:
9am CDT Oct 2, 2026-6pm CDT Oct 8, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation