National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorms and Excessive Rainfall in the Central U.S.; Heat Building in the Western U.S.

A cold front pressing east across the central U.S. will be the focus for areas of strong to severe thunderstorms and excessive rainfall through this weekend. Strong to severe thunderstorms my bring damaging winds, hail, and a few tornadoes while excessive rainfall may lead to areas of flooding. Heat will build across the western U.S. with heat-related watches, warnings, and advisories issued. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Ashland, Hanover County Municipal Airport (KOFP)

Lat: 37.71°NLon: 77.43°WElev: 203ft.

Fair

74°F

23°C

Humidity 94%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 30.06 in (1017.6 mb)
Dewpoint 72°F (22°C)
Visibility 7.00 mi
Last update 12 Jul 11:54 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

2 Miles NE Mechanicsville VA

  • Overnight

    Overnight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Patchy fog after 5am. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 70 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms and
    Patchy Fog

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 89. Heat index values as high as 100. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 89 °F

    Chance
    T-storms and
    Patchy Fog

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 72 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Monday

    Monday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 2pm and 5pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Heat index values as high as 100. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 90 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms
    Likely

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 2am, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 72 °F

    T-storms
    Likely then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 90 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 73. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 73 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 90 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 74 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Patchy fog after 5am. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 89. Heat index values as high as 100. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Monday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 2pm and 5pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Heat index values as high as 100. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 2am, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tuesday
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tuesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 73. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Partly sunny, with a high near 93. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Saturday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 91. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
2 Miles NE Mechanicsville VA
 37.64°N 77.32°W (Elev. 108 ft)
Last Update:
9:33 pm EDT Jul 12, 2025
Forecast Valid:
12am EDT Jul 13, 2025-6pm EDT Jul 19, 2025
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation