Severe Thunderstorms and Excessive Rainfall in the Central U.S.; Heat Building in the Western U.S.

A cold front pressing east across the central U.S. will be the focus for areas of strong to severe thunderstorms and excessive rainfall through this weekend. Strong to severe thunderstorms my bring damaging winds, hail, and a few tornadoes while excessive rainfall may lead to areas of flooding. Heat will build across the western U.S. with heat-related watches, warnings, and advisories issued. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Tappahannock-Essex County Airport (KXSA)

Lat: 37.86°NLon: 76.89°WElev: 135ft.

Overcast

82°F

28°C

Humidity 87%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 30.08 in
Dewpoint 78°F (26°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index91°F (33°C)
Last update 13 Jul 11:15 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

2 Miles NW Lancaster VA

  • Today

    Today: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between noon and 4pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 87. Southeast wind around 7 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 87 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 73 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Monday

    Monday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 2pm and 5pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 5pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 88. Calm wind becoming south around 6 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

    High: 88 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    T-storms
    Likely

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 8pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. Calm wind.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 73 °F

    T-storms
    Likely

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 2pm and 5pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 5pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 87. Calm wind becoming south around 6 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 87 °F

    T-storms
    Likely

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 8pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 74 °F

    T-storms
    Likely

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 89 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 76 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 92 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

Today
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between noon and 4pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. Southeast wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tonight
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Monday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 2pm and 5pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 88. Calm wind becoming south around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Monday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Tuesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 2pm and 5pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 87. Calm wind becoming south around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tuesday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
A chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Wednesday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
2 Miles NW Lancaster VA
 37.78°N 76.47°W (Elev. 49 ft)
9:40 am EDT Jul 13, 2025
11am EDT Jul 13, 2025-6pm EDT Jul 19, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database