National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rain in the Southeast from Cold Front/Tropical Depression; Building Heat and Monsoon in the West

A cold front will shift across the southeast on Tuesday with a threat for flash flooding from slow moving thunderstorms while Tropical Depression 3 brings heavy rain to eastern Florida. Monsoonal moisture in the Southwest will bring a marginal threat for flash flooding to the Four Corners states. Excessive heat is forecast to return to southern Arizona and California this week. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

St. Johns, St. Johns Industrial Airpark (KSJN)

Lat: 34.52°NLon: 109.38°WElev: 5732ft.

Fair

24°C

76°F

Humidity 37%
Wind Speed SE 19 km/h
Barometer 1014.9 mb (30.28 in)
Dewpoint 9°C (48°F)
Visibility 16 km
Heat Index26°C (78°F)
Last update 22 Jul 7:54 pm MST
Extended Forecast for

Reserve NM

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 14. Northeast wind around 10 km/h. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Heavy Rain

    Low: 14 °C

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after noon. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 28. East wind 10 to 15 km/h. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between 2.5 and 5 mm possible.

    Heavy Rain

    High: 28 °C

  • Tuesday
    Night

    Tuesday Night: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 12. South wind 10 to 15 km/h becoming southeast 5 to 10 km/h after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2.5 mm, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Scattered
    T-storms then
    Isolated
    T-storms

    Low: 12 °C

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 29. East wind 5 to 15 km/h becoming southwest in the afternoon.

    Partly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

    High: 29 °C

  • Wednesday
    Night

    Wednesday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 13. Southwest wind 10 to 15 km/h becoming light in the evening.

    Chance
    T-storms

    Low: 13 °C

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 31. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    T-storms
    Likely

    High: 31 °C

  • Thursday
    Night

    Thursday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 14.

    Chance
    T-storms

    Low: 14 °C

  • Friday

    Friday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 31.

    Chance
    T-storms

    High: 31 °C

  • Friday
    Night

    Friday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 13.

    Chance
    T-storms

    Low: 13 °C

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 14. Northeast wind around 10 km/h. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Tuesday
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after noon. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 28. East wind 10 to 15 km/h. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between 2.5 and 5 mm possible.
Tuesday Night
Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 12. South wind 10 to 15 km/h becoming southeast 5 to 10 km/h after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2.5 mm, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 29. East wind 5 to 15 km/h becoming southwest in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 13. Southwest wind 10 to 15 km/h becoming light in the evening.
Thursday
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 31. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 14.
Friday
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 31.
Friday Night
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 13.
Saturday
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 31. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Saturday Night
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 13.
Sunday
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 31.
Sunday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 13.
Monday
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 32. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Click Map For Forecast
Disclaimer
Map Legend
Point Forecast:
Reserve NM
 33.7°N 108.78°W (Elev. 1899 m)
Last Update:
2:42 pm MDT Jul 22, 2019
Forecast Valid:
9pm MDT Jul 22, 2019-6pm MDT Jul 29, 2019
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation