Flooding Risks from Tropical Moisture Across the Southeast and Southwest

Tropical moisture from Isaias and Rachel will impact portions of the Southeast and Southwest this weekend. Flash flooding, strong winds and even a threat for severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Meanwhile, strong winds and dry fuels are raising fire weather concerns across the central Great Basin and western High Plains. Across the northern Rockies, first winter storm of the season. Read More >

Current conditions at

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Last update
Extended Forecast for

14 Miles ESE Phantom Ranch AZ

Flood Watch October 10, 05:20pm until October 12, 05:00am
Wind Advisory October 11, 08:00am until October 11, 08:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
Wind Advisory
  •  
    Flood Watch October 10, 05:20pm until October 12, 05:00am

    NOW until 5:00am Mon

    Flood Watch

  • This Afternoon

    High: 72 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Southeast wind 7 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Low: 64 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am.  Partly sunny, with a high near 75. Breezy, with a south wind 10 to 15 mph increasing to 23 to 28 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 47 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 75 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Chance
    T-storms and
    Breezy

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then a chance of showers between 11pm and 2am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Southwest wind 11 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 61 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8am, then a chance of showers between 8am and 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am.  Partly sunny, with a high near 70. Southwest wind 11 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 70 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. Southwest wind 11 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Low: 57 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Partly sunny, with a high near 64. Southwest wind 15 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph.

    High: 64 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 42. West wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph.

    Low: 42 °F

    Partly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a steady temperature around 72. Southwest wind around 13 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Tonight
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Southeast wind 7 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Sunday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 75. Breezy, with a south wind 10 to 15 mph increasing to 23 to 28 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 47 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then a chance of showers between 11pm and 2am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Southwest wind 11 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Columbus Day
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8am, then a chance of showers between 8am and 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 70. Southwest wind 11 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Monday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. Southwest wind 11 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Tuesday
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 64. Southwest wind 15 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 42. West wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 65. Northwest wind around 7 mph.
Wednesday Night
Clear, with a low around 44. West wind around 5 mph becoming light and variable in the evening.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 68. Northeast wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph.
Thursday Night
Clear, with a low around 47. Northeast wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 70. Northeast wind 11 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 49. Northeast wind around 9 mph.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 71.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
14 Miles ESE Phantom Ranch AZ
 36.04°N 111.86°W (Elev. 4088 ft)
3:13 pm MST Oct 10, 2026
5pm MST Oct 10, 2026-6pm MST Oct 17, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

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