Heavy Rainfall and Severe Thunderstorm Threats; Heat Risk Expands; Monitoring the Tropics

Flash flooding risks continue for portions of the Four Corners and Great Basin through today. Severe thunderstorms are outlooked from the eastern Great Lakes, southern New England into the mid-Atlantic through Tuesday. Heat risk increases and expands across the center of the nation and across the Ohio Valley and mid-Atlantic this week. Continue to closely monitor tropical development in the Gulf. Read More >

Current conditions at

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Last update
Extended Forecast for

10 Miles ESE Phantom Ranch AZ

Flood Watch August 31, 08:59am until September 1, 12:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch August 31, 08:59am until September 1, 12:00am

    NOW until 12:00am Tue

    Flood Watch

  • Today

    High: 81 °F

    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 11pm.  Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 60. East wind 3 to 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 60 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. Light and variable wind becoming west 12 to 17 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph.

    High: 85 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 61. Southwest wind 9 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.

    Low: 61 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am.  Sunny, with a high near 87. Southwest wind 8 to 13 mph increasing to 16 to 21 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 26 mph.

    High: 87 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 62. Southwest wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.

    Low: 62 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 89. Southwest wind 8 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.

    High: 89 °F

    Sunny

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 64. Southwest wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    Low: 64 °F

    Mostly Clear

Detailed Forecast

Today
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 11am. High near 81. East wind around 5 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Tonight
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 11pm. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 60. East wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. Light and variable wind becoming west 12 to 17 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 61. Southwest wind 9 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Wednesday
A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Sunny, with a high near 87. Southwest wind 8 to 13 mph increasing to 16 to 21 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 26 mph.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 62. Southwest wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 89. Southwest wind 8 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 64. Southwest wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Friday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Southwest wind 7 to 14 mph.
Friday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Saturday
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Southwest wind 3 to 6 mph.
Saturday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 66. Southwest wind 3 to 5 mph.
Sunday
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. Southeast wind 5 to 7 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
10 Miles ESE Phantom Ranch AZ
 36.05°N 111.92°W (Elev. 3999 ft)
3:12 am MST Aug 31, 2026
8am MST Aug 31, 2026-6pm MST Sep 6, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

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