National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Excessive Rainfall Areas Today; Tropical Storm Jerry Forms

Heavy to excessive rainfall is possible today and tonight ahead of and along a cold front crossing portions of Kentucky, middle Tennessee, the Ohio Valley and New Mexico. Tropical Storm Jerry, the tenth named storm of the 2025 season, has formed over the central tropical Atlantic. Jerry is expected to be near or north of the northern Leeward Islands on Thursday and Friday. Read More >

Current conditions at

Bristol / Johnson / Kingsport, Tri-City Regional Airport (KTRI)

Lat: 36.48°NLon: 82.4°WElev: 1519ft.

Rain

70°F

21°C

Humidity 82%
Wind Speed W 5 mph
Barometer 30.16 in (1019.1 mb)
Dewpoint 64°F (18°C)
Visibility 7.00 mi
Last update 7 Oct 12:53 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

Mount Carmel TN

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 79. Southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    High: 79 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 11pm. Low around 64. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 64 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers and thunderstorms before 11am, then a chance of showers between 11am and 2pm. High near 71. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming north in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 71 °F

    Showers then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49. Northeast wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 49 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 71. East wind 5 to 10 mph.

    High: 71 °F

    Sunny

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 43. East wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 43 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Friday

    Friday: Sunny, with a high near 70. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the morning.

    High: 70 °F

    Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 42.

    Low: 42 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 71.

    High: 71 °F

    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 79. Southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Tonight
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 11pm. Low around 64. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
Showers and thunderstorms before 11am, then a chance of showers between 11am and 2pm. High near 71. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming north in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 49. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 71. East wind 5 to 10 mph.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 43. East wind around 5 mph.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 70. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the morning.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 42.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 71.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 44.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 72.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 45.
Columbus Day
Sunny, with a high near 73.
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Forecast Area
Tiles ©ESRI

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Mount Carmel TN
 36.57°N 82.65°W (Elev. 1480 ft)
Last Update:
10:56 am EDT Oct 7, 2025
Forecast Valid:
1pm EDT Oct 7, 2025-6pm EDT Oct 13, 2025
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation