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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN
000
FNUS54 KMRX 171409 AAA
FWFMRX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...UPDATED
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
1009 AM EDT Fri Aug 17 2018
.DISCUSSION...
Chances for showers and thunderstorms increase over the next few
days as an upper disturbance slowly moves through the region. A
more summertime pattern will return on Sunday and into the start of
the new work week with mainly afternoon showers and thunderstorms
possible. Temperatures through the period will remain nearly one
category below normal levels.
VAZ001-002-005-006-008-181515-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
1009 AM EDT Fri Aug 17 2018
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud cover MCldy MCldy MCldy
Temp (24h trend) 79-84 (-4) 64-69 (-2) 75-80
RH % (24h trend) 57-62 (+5) 95-100 (+5) 71-76
20ft Wind-AM(mph) SW 6 G18 SW 5
20ft Wind-PM(mph) SW 7 G17 LGT/VAR SW 6
Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance precip (%) 50 60 70
Precip duration 1 2 3
Precip begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.14 0.20 0.52
LAL 3 4 4
LASI/Haines 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 4500 4500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 2500 2400
Transport wnd (mph) SW 16 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 72000 63000
Dispersion 35 Fair 29 Fair
Max LVORI 4 4
33ft wind-AM(mph) SW 8 G18 SW 6
33ft wind-PM(mph) SW 9 G17 SW 6 SW 8
Remarks...None.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to
lower 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ018-041-043-045-047-181515-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
1009 AM EDT Fri Aug 17 2018
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud cover PCldy MCldy MCldy
Temp (24h trend) 77-82 (-4) 62-67 (-1) 73-78
RH % (24h trend) 58-63 (+8) 95-100 (+8) 69-74
20ft Wind-AM(mph) SW 5 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph) W 6 G15 LGT/VAR W 6
Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance precip (%) 60 60 70
Precip duration 2 2 3
Precip begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.14 0.12 0.59
LAL 4 4 4
LASI/Haines 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 5500 4700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 2800 1900
Transport wnd (mph) W 9 W 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 49500 56400
Dispersion 21 Fair 19 Gen poor
Max LVORI 4 5
33ft wind-AM(mph) SW 6 W 5
33ft wind-PM(mph) W 7 G15 SW 5 W 7
Remarks...None.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to upper 60s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ072-074-181515-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
1009 AM EDT Fri Aug 17 2018
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud cover MCldy MCldy MCldy
Temp (24h trend) 75-80 (-6) 61-66 (-2) 73-78
RH % (24h trend) 62-67 (+5) 95-100 (+5) 69-74
20ft Wind-AM(mph) SW 6 G15 SW 6 G17
20ft Wind-PM(mph) SW 7 G15 SW 6 G17 SW 8 G21
Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance precip (%) 60 60 70
Precip duration 2 3 3
Precip begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.11 0.19 0.64
LAL 4 4 4
LASI/Haines 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 5400 4800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 2400 1800
Transport wnd (mph) SW 9 SW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 48600 72000
Dispersion 17 Gen poor 22 Fair
Max LVORI 5 5
33ft wind-AM(mph) SW 8 G15 SW 8 G17
33ft wind-PM(mph) SW 8 SW 8 G17 SW 11 G21
Remarks...None.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
mid 50s to upper 60s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 60s
to lower 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to upper 60s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 60s to
mid 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ087-102-181515-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
1009 AM EDT Fri Aug 17 2018
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud cover MCldy MCldy MCldy
Temp (24h trend) 78-83 (-6) 64-69 (-3) 75-80
RH % (24h trend) 67-72 (+12) 95-100 (+5) 73-78
20ft Wind-AM(mph) SW 5 SW 6 G15
20ft Wind-PM(mph) SW 6 LGT/VAR SW 7 G19
Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance precip (%) 60 60 70
Precip duration 2 3 3
Precip begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.12 0.23 0.61
LAL 4 4 4
LASI/Haines 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 4900 3900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 2900 1900
Transport wnd (mph) SW 9 SW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 44100 58500
Dispersion 22 Fair 25 Fair
Max LVORI 4 5
33ft wind-AM(mph) SW 6 SW 7 G15
33ft wind-PM(mph) SW 7 SW 5 SW 9 G19
Remarks...None.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
NCZ060-061-181515-
Nantahala National Forest-
1009 AM EDT Fri Aug 17 2018
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud cover MCldy MCldy MCldy
Temp (24h trend) 77-82 (-5) 63-68 (-2) 75-80
RH % (24h trend) 65-70 (+7) 95-100 (+3) 73-78
20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR SW 5
20ft Wind-PM(mph) SW 5 LGT/VAR SW 5
Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance precip (%) 60 70 70
Precip duration 2 3 3
Precip begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.09 0.24 0.59
LAL 4 4 4
LASI/Haines 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 6100 4000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 3800 1800
Transport wnd (mph) SW 7 SW 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 42700 48000
Dispersion 23 Fair 19 Gen poor
Max LVORI 5 5
33ft wind-AM(mph) SW 5 SW 6
33ft wind-PM(mph) SW 6 LGT/VAR SW 6
Remarks...None.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s to
lower 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 60. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-181515-
East Tennessee District East-
1009 AM EDT Fri Aug 17 2018
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud cover MCldy MCldy MCldy
Temp (24h trend) 81-86 (-4) 65-70 (-2) 77-82
RH % (24h trend) 56-61 (+5) 95-100 (+5) 68-73
20ft Wind-AM(mph) SW 5 G16 SW 6 G16
20ft Wind-PM(mph) SW 7 G17 LGT/VAR SW 8 G19
Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance precip (%) 50 60 70
Precip duration 1 2 3
Precip begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.10 0.14 0.52
LAL 4 4 4
LASI/Haines 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 4400 4200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 2900 2700
Transport wnd (mph) SW 13 SW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57200 63000
Dispersion 32 Fair 35 Fair
Max LVORI 4 4
33ft wind-AM(mph) SW 7 G16 SW 7 G16
33ft wind-PM(mph) SW 9 G17 LGT/VAR SW 9 G19
Remarks...None.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s to
mid 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to
lower 80s. Light winds.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-181515-
East Tennessee District West-
1009 AM EDT Fri Aug 17 2018
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud cover MCldy MCldy MCldy
Temp (24h trend) 80-85 (-4) 66-71 (-1) 78-83
RH % (24h trend) 62-67 (+4) 95-100 (+3) 69-74
20ft Wind-AM(mph) SW 5 G15 SW 6 G17
20ft Wind-PM(mph) SW 7 G17 LGT/VAR SW 8 G21
Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance precip (%) 60 60 70
Precip duration 2 3 3
Precip begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.18 0.18 0.55
LAL 4 4 4
LASI/Haines 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 3700 3700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 2400 2400
Transport wnd (mph) SW 14 SW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 51800 55500
Dispersion 27 Fair 32 Fair
Max LVORI 4 4
33ft wind-AM(mph) SW 7 G15 SW 7 G17
33ft wind-PM(mph) SW 9 G17 SW 5 SW 10 G21
Remarks...None.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s to
mid 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to
mid 80s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ077-079>085-097>101-181515-
Cumberland District South-
1009 AM EDT Fri Aug 17 2018 /909 AM CDT Fri Aug 17 2018/
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud cover MCldy MCldy MCldy
Temp (24h trend) 80-85 (-6) 66-71 (-2) 79-84
RH % (24h trend) 62-67 (+6) 95-100 (+2) 68-73
20ft Wind-AM(mph) SW 6 SW 6 G15
20ft Wind-PM(mph) SW 6 G15 LGT/VAR SW 8 G20
Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance precip (%) 60 60 70
Precip duration 2 3 3
Precip begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.27 0.23 0.65
LAL 4 4 4
LASI/Haines 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 4000 3500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 2900 2400
Transport wnd (mph) SW 13 SW 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 52000 56000
Dispersion 30 Fair 32 Fair
Max LVORI 4 4
33ft wind-AM(mph) SW 7 SW 8 G15
33ft wind-PM(mph) SW 8 SW 5 SW 10 G20
Remarks...None.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
70s to mid 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid
80s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
- National Weather Service
- Morristown, TN Weather Forecast Office
- 5974 Commerce Blvd.
- Morristown, TN 37814
- (423) 586-3771
- Page Author: MRX Webmaster
- Web Master's E-mail: sr-mrx.webmaster@noaa.gov
- Page last modified: Aug 1st, 2018 20:54 UTC