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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN
000
FNUS54 KMRX 180846
FWFMRX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
346 AM EST Tue Dec 18 2018
.DISCUSSION...
A ridge of high pressure will build into the
Tennessee Valley and Southern Appalachians through Wednesday
producing dry conditions and pleasant temperatures. A deepening
storm system and developing low pressure will spread rain into the
Tennessee Valley, mainly on Thursday and Friday; followed by colder
air behind that system.
The rain will likely change to snow showers and flurries across the
area Friday night through Saturday morning. Accumulating snowfall is
possible across the higher terrain in southwest Virginia and
northeast Tennessee, as well as the mountains along the North
Carolina border.
VAZ001-002-005-006-008-191000-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
346 AM EST Tue Dec 18 2018
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud cover MClear MClear MClear
Temp (24h trend) 44-49 (-4) 30-35 (+3) 49-54
RH % (24h trend) 43-48 (-10) 88-93 (+4) 51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
Precip type None None None
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
LAL 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 4 4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 2300 3100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 300 1000
Transport wnd (mph) N 5 S 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 11500 24800
Dispersion 1 Very poor 7 Poor
Max LVORI 6 5
33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR S 5
33ft wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 5
Remarks...None.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Lows in
the upper 30s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southeast
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers with snow showers likely. Highs in the 40s.
West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
30s to lower 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the 40s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 30s
to upper 40s. South winds less than 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ018-041-043-045-047-191000-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
346 AM EST Tue Dec 18 2018
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud cover MClear MClear PCldy
Temp (24h trend) 45-50 (0) 29-34 (+2) 49-54
RH % (24h trend) 39-44 (-13) 89-94 (-1) 50-55
20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR S 5
20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
Precip type None None None
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
LAL 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 4 4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 2900 3600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 200 800
Transport wnd (mph) N 5 S 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 14500 25200
Dispersion 0 Very poor 5 Very poor
Max LVORI 5 5
33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR S 6
33ft wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR SE 5 LGT/VAR
Remarks...None.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Lows in
the mid 30s to lower 40s. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southeast
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and snow showers. Highs in the 40s. Northwest
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 30s to mid 40s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
upper 30s to lower 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ072-074-191000-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
346 AM EST Tue Dec 18 2018
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud cover MClear MClear PCldy
Temp (24h trend) 47-52 (-1) 32-37 (+5) 49-54
RH % (24h trend) 39-44 (-1) 85-90 (+7) 42-47
20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR S 7 G18
20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
Precip type None None None
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
LAL 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 4 4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 3200 4100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 200 1100
Transport wnd (mph) NE 5 S 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 16000 36900
Dispersion 1 Very poor 7 Poor
Max LVORI 4 4
33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR S 8 G18
33ft wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR S 5 LGT/VAR
Remarks...None.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the mid
30s to lower 40s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southeast
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the lower 30s to mid 40s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph shifting to the west after
midnight.
.FRIDAY...Snow showers and showers. Highs in the mid 30s to upper
40s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
upper 30s to mid 40s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ087-102-191000-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
346 AM EST Tue Dec 18 2018
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud cover MClear MClear PCldy
Temp (24h trend) 50-55 (-1) 33-38 (+7) 51-56
RH % (24h trend) 41-46 (-5) 93-98 (0) 47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR SE 8 G17
20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 7 G17
Precip type None None None
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
LAL 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 4 4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 2500 3100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 400 1000
Transport wnd (mph) N 6 SE 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 15000 43400
Dispersion 2 Very poor 11 Poor
Max LVORI 6 5
33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR SE 10 G17
33ft wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 9 G17
Remarks...None.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the lower 40s.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southeast
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph shifting to the northwest after
midnight.
.FRIDAY...Showers and snow showers. Highs in the upper 30s to mid
40s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the 30s to
upper 40s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to lower 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
NCZ060-061-191000-
Nantahala National Forest-
346 AM EST Tue Dec 18 2018
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud cover MClear PCldy PCldy
Temp (24h trend) 51-56 (-2) 31-36 (+6) 50-55
RH % (24h trend) 40-45 (+2) 95-100 (+3) 50-55
20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR SE 5
20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 6
Precip type None None None
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
LAL 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 5 4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 2500 3200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 300 900
Transport wnd (mph) N 2 SE 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 5000 32000
Dispersion 0 Very poor 7 Poor
Max LVORI 7 6
33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR SE 7
33ft wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 7
Remarks...None.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows near 40.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southeast
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s. East
winds less than 10 mph shifting to the west after midnight.
.FRIDAY...Showers and snow showers. Highs in the upper 30s to mid
40s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
40s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-191000-
East Tennessee District East-
346 AM EST Tue Dec 18 2018
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud cover MClear MClear PCldy
Temp (24h trend) 46-51 (-3) 30-35 (+3) 51-56
RH % (24h trend) 45-50 (-9) 95-100 (+2) 50-55
20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
Precip type None None None
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
LAL 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 4 4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 2200 3000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 700 1500
Transport wnd (mph) NE 5 S 5
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 11000 15000
Dispersion 3 Very poor 6 Very poor
Max LVORI 8 7
33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR SE 5
33ft wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
Remarks...None.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Lows
near 40. East winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain. Highs near 50. East winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds less
than 10 mph shifting to the north after midnight.
.FRIDAY...Showers with snow showers likely. Highs in the mid to
upper 40s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 30s to mid 40s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-191000-
East Tennessee District West-
346 AM EST Tue Dec 18 2018
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud cover MClear MClear PCldy
Temp (24h trend) 47-52 (-5) 31-36 (+3) 51-56
RH % (24h trend) 45-50 (-6) 95-100 (+4) 53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
Precip type None None None
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
LAL 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 4 4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 2200 3000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 900 1700
Transport wnd (mph) NE 6 S 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 13200 30000
Dispersion 5 Very poor 14 Gen poor
Max LVORI 6 5
33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 5
Remarks...None.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the
upper 30s to mid 40s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain. Highs near 50. Northeast winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and chance of snow showers. Highs in the 30s to
upper 40s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the 30s to
upper 40s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ077-079>085-097>101-191000-
Cumberland District South-
346 AM EST Tue Dec 18 2018 /246 AM CST Tue Dec 18 2018/
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud cover MClear MClear PCldy
Temp (24h trend) 50-55 (-3) 33-38 (+5) 52-57
RH % (24h trend) 39-44 (-10) 95-100 (+5) 55-60
20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR SE 5 G15
20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 6 G16
Precip type None None None
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
LAL 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 4 4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 2200 2700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 1000 1500
Transport wnd (mph) NE 6 S 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 13200 40500
Dispersion 6 Very poor 18 Gen poor
Max LVORI 6 5
33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR SE 6 G15
33ft wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 8 G16
Remarks...None.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the lower 40s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain. Highs near 50. East winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
North winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and chance of snow showers. Highs in the lower
to mid 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
40s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to lower 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
- National Weather Service
- Morristown, TN Weather Forecast Office
- 5974 Commerce Blvd.
- Morristown, TN 37814
- (423) 586-3771
- Page Author: MRX Webmaster
- Web Master's E-mail: sr-mrx.webmaster@noaa.gov
- Page last modified: Dec 11th, 2018 03:07 UTC