Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 261914
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
314 PM EDT Thu Apr 26 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Rain showers will give way to drier and warmer weather
on Friday with highs rebounding to the upper 60s and lower 70s. A
weak frontal boundary will move through over the weekend bringing a
brief return to below normal temperatures. However, a pleasant warm
up is in store with dry conditions through much of the upcoming work
week thanks to an extended period of southerly winds.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-272015-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
314 PM EDT Thu Apr 26 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      46-51 (+4)   63-68 (+5)   43-48        61-66
RH % (24h trend)      91-96 (-3)   41-46 (-10)  88-93        37-42
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W  5 G16                  W  9 G26
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G21     W  5         W 11 G26
Precip type           showers      showers      NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     80           20           0            20
Precip duration       3            1                         1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing                11 AM
Precip end            Continuing   6 PM                      8 PM
Precip amount         0.28         0.01         0.00         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 7100                      7500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                5100                      5500
Transport wnd (mph)                W 12                      W 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 85200                     157500
Dispersion                         51 Gen good               98 Good
Max LVORI                          4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W  7 G16                  W 11 G26
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G21     W  5         W 14 G26

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 20s to upper 30s.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 60s. Northwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Patchy frost. Lows in the lower to mid
30s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph early in the evening
becoming light.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Warmer. Highs in the upper 50s to lower
70s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 60s to lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 60s to lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-272015-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
314 PM EDT Thu Apr 26 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      44-49 (+2)   59-64 (+4)   42-47        61-66
RH % (24h trend)      93-98 (0)    44-49 (-21)  86-91        39-44
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW  7 G19                 W 11 G25
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G23     W  6 G16     W 12 G28
Precip type           showers      showers      NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     80           40           0            20
Precip duration       4            1                         1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing                2 PM
Precip end            Continuing   7 PM                      8 PM
Precip amount         0.32         0.02         0.00         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6800                      7600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                4100                      4900
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 14                     W 22
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 95200                     167200
Dispersion                         49 Gen good               90 Good
Max LVORI                          4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW  9 G19                 W 14 G25
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W 13 G23     W  7 G16     W 16 G28

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy frost. Lows in the 20s to
upper 30s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 60s. Northwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Patchy frost. Lows in the upper 20s to mid
30s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear, warmer. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
60s to lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
60s to lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 60s to mid 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-272015-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
314 PM EDT Thu Apr 26 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      43-48 (+2)   59-64 (+7)   41-46        60-65
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (-1)  43-48 (-31)  88-93        37-42
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW  6 G17                 W  9 G24
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G23     W  5 G15     W 13 G30
Precip type           showers      showers      NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     90           20           0            20
Precip duration       3            1                         1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing                2 PM
Precip end            Continuing   2 PM                      8 PM
Precip amount         0.25         0.01         0.00         0.01
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6700                      7600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                3700                      4600
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 12                     W 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 80400                     152000
Dispersion                         34 Fair                   76 Good
Max LVORI                          4                         3
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW  8 G17                 W 12 G24
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W 12 G23     W  7 G15     W 16 G30

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Patchy frost. Lows in the upper
20s to lower 40s. North winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 40s to lower 60s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Patchy frost. Lows in the 20s to upper
30s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear, warmer. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s
to 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s
to lower 80s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
mid 60s to lower 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-272015-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
314 PM EDT Thu Apr 26 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      46-51 (+3)   63-68 (+8)   43-48        66-71
RH % (24h trend)      93-98 (-1)   40-45 (-34)  86-91        35-40
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW  6 G15                 W  7 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G22     LGT/VAR      W 11 G25
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     70           0            0            0
Precip duration       2
Precip begin          8 PM
Precip end            7 AM
Precip amount         0.13         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6000                      7200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                3900                      5100
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 13                     W 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 78000                     122400
Dispersion                         40 Fair                   76 Good
Max LVORI                          4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW  7 G15                 W  9 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W 12 G22     LGT/VAR      W 14 G25

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 30s to lower 40s.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. North winds
up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 30s. East winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear, warmer. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
60s to lower 80s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
mid 60s to lower 80s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 60s to lower 80s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-272015-
Nantahala National Forest-
314 PM EDT Thu Apr 26 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      44-49 (+3)   62-67 (+8)   41-46        66-71
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (-1)  43-48 (-32)  92-97        36-41
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW  6                     NW  7 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G22     LGT/VAR      W 11 G25
Precip type           tstms        NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     70           0            0            0
Precip duration       2
Precip begin          8 PM
Precip end            7 AM
Precip amount         0.11         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6000                      7600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                3800                      5400
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 13                     NW 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 78000                     129200
Dispersion                         41 Gen good               82 Good
Max LVORI                          4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW  7                     NW 10 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W 12 G22     LGT/VAR      W 14 G25

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 30s to lower 40s.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. North winds
up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 30s. Northeast winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 60s to lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
upper 60s to lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 60s to lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-272015-
East Tennessee District East-
314 PM EDT Thu Apr 26 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      46-51 (+2)   64-69 (+6)   44-49        65-70
RH % (24h trend)      93-98 (-1)   41-46 (-18)  90-95        36-41
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W  6 G19                  W  9 G25
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G23     LGT/VAR      W 12 G26
Precip type           showers      showers      NONE         sprinkles
Chance precip (%)     80           30           0            0
Precip duration       3            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   5 PM
Precip amount         0.27         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6300                      6800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                4800                      5300
Transport wnd (mph)                W 12                      W 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 75600                     136000
Dispersion                         49 Gen good               91 Good
Max LVORI                          4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W  7 G19                  W 11 G25
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W 12 G23     SW  5        W 15 G26

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 30s to lower 40s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 30s. North winds less than
10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.MONDAY...Clear, warmer. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 70s
to lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
70s to lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 70s
to mid 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-272015-
East Tennessee District West-
314 PM EDT Thu Apr 26 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      46-51 (+1)   65-70 (+9)   45-50        66-71
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (0)   36-41 (-35)  84-89        35-40
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W  5                      W  7 G25
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G20     LGT/VAR      W 12 G26
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     70           0            0            0
Precip duration       2
Precip begin          8 PM
Precip end            Continuing
Precip amount         0.12         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6200                      6900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                4900                      5700
Transport wnd (mph)                W 10                      W 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 62000                     124200
Dispersion                         43 Gen good               92 Good
Max LVORI                          4                         3
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W  6                      W  9 G25
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G20     LGT/VAR      W 15 G26

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 30s to lower 40s.
North winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 30s. North winds less than
10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Warmer. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 70s to
lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the 70s to
lower 80s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-272015-
Cumberland District South-
314 PM EDT Thu Apr 26 2018 /214 PM CDT Thu Apr 26 2018/

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           MCldy        MClear       MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      45-50 (-2)   66-71 (+11)  46-51        69-74
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  36-41 (-40)  85-90        35-40
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW  6 G19                 W  7 G23
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G23    LGT/VAR      W 11 G25
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     60           0            0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          8 PM
Precip end            4 AM
Precip amount         0.06         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5500                      7100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                4300                      6000
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 13                     W 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 71500                     120700
Dispersion                         45 Gen good               93 Good
Max LVORI                          4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW  7 G19                 W  8 G23
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  5         NW 12 G23    LGT/VAR      W 13 G25

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 30s to mid 40s. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 30s to lower 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
70s to lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 70s
to lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s. South winds up to
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



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