Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 180846
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
346 AM EST Tue Dec 18 2018

.DISCUSSION...
A ridge of high pressure will build into the
Tennessee Valley and Southern Appalachians through Wednesday
producing dry conditions and pleasant temperatures. A deepening
storm system and developing low pressure will spread rain into the
Tennessee Valley, mainly on Thursday and Friday; followed by colder
air behind that system.

The rain will likely change to snow showers and flurries across the
area Friday night through Saturday morning. Accumulating snowfall is
possible across the higher terrain in southwest Virginia and
northeast Tennessee, as well as the mountains along the North
Carolina border.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-191000-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
346 AM EST Tue Dec 18 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      44-49 (-4)   30-35 (+3)   49-54
RH % (24h trend)      43-48 (-10)  88-93 (+4)   51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           None         None         None
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    2300                      3100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   300                       1000
Transport wnd (mph)   N  5                      S  8
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    11500                     24800
Dispersion            1 Very poor               7 Poor
Max LVORI             6                         5
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Lows in
the upper 30s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southeast
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers with snow showers likely. Highs in the 40s.
West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
30s to lower 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the 40s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 30s
to upper 40s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-191000-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
346 AM EST Tue Dec 18 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      45-50 (0)    29-34 (+2)   49-54
RH % (24h trend)      39-44 (-13)  89-94 (-1)   50-55
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           None         None         None
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    2900                      3600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   200                       800
Transport wnd (mph)   N  5                      S  7
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    14500                     25200
Dispersion            0 Very poor               5 Very poor
Max LVORI             5                         5
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Lows in
the mid 30s to lower 40s. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southeast
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and snow showers. Highs in the 40s. Northwest
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 30s to mid 40s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
upper 30s to lower 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-191000-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
346 AM EST Tue Dec 18 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      47-52 (-1)   32-37 (+5)   49-54
RH % (24h trend)      39-44 (-1)   85-90 (+7)   42-47
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G18
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           None         None         None
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3200                      4100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   200                       1100
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  5                     S  9
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    16000                     36900
Dispersion            1 Very poor               7 Poor
Max LVORI             4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G18
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the mid
30s to lower 40s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southeast
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the lower 30s to mid 40s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph shifting to the west after
midnight.
.FRIDAY...Snow showers and showers. Highs in the mid 30s to upper
40s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
upper 30s to mid 40s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-191000-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
346 AM EST Tue Dec 18 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      50-55 (-1)   33-38 (+7)   51-56
RH % (24h trend)      41-46 (-5)   93-98 (0)    47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G17
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7 G17
Precip type           None         None         None
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    2500                      3100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   400                       1000
Transport wnd (mph)   N  6                      SE 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    15000                     43400
Dispersion            2 Very poor               11 Poor
Max LVORI             6                         5
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE 10 G17
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  9 G17

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the lower 40s.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southeast
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph shifting to the northwest after
midnight.
.FRIDAY...Showers and snow showers. Highs in the upper 30s to mid
40s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the 30s to
upper 40s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to lower 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-191000-
Nantahala National Forest-
346 AM EST Tue Dec 18 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      51-56 (-2)   31-36 (+6)   50-55
RH % (24h trend)      40-45 (+2)   95-100 (+3)  50-55
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6
Precip type           None         None         None
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    2500                      3200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   300                       900
Transport wnd (mph)   N  2                      SE 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    5000                      32000
Dispersion            0 Very poor               7 Poor
Max LVORI             7                         6
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows near 40.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southeast
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s. East
winds less than 10 mph shifting to the west after midnight.
.FRIDAY...Showers and snow showers. Highs in the upper 30s to mid
40s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
40s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-191000-
East Tennessee District East-
346 AM EST Tue Dec 18 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      46-51 (-3)   30-35 (+3)   51-56
RH % (24h trend)      45-50 (-9)   95-100 (+2)  50-55
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           None         None         None
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    2200                      3000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   700                       1500
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  5                     S  5
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    11000                     15000
Dispersion            3 Very poor               6 Very poor
Max LVORI             8                         7
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Lows
near 40. East winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain. Highs near 50. East winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds less
than 10 mph shifting to the north after midnight.
.FRIDAY...Showers with snow showers likely. Highs in the mid to
upper 40s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 30s to mid 40s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-191000-
East Tennessee District West-
346 AM EST Tue Dec 18 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      47-52 (-5)   31-36 (+3)   51-56
RH % (24h trend)      45-50 (-6)   95-100 (+4)  53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           None         None         None
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    2200                      3000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   900                       1700
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  6                     S 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    13200                     30000
Dispersion            5 Very poor               14 Gen poor
Max LVORI             6                         5
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the
upper 30s to mid 40s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain. Highs near 50. Northeast winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and chance of snow showers. Highs in the 30s to
upper 40s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the 30s to
upper 40s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-191000-
Cumberland District South-
346 AM EST Tue Dec 18 2018 /246 AM CST Tue Dec 18 2018/

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      50-55 (-3)   33-38 (+5)   52-57
RH % (24h trend)      39-44 (-10)  95-100 (+5)  55-60
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5 G15
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6 G16
Precip type           None         None         None
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    2200                      2700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1000                      1500
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  6                     S 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    13200                     40500
Dispersion            6 Very poor               18 Gen poor
Max LVORI             6                         5
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G15
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G16

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the lower 40s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain. Highs near 50. East winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
North winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and chance of snow showers. Highs in the lower
to mid 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
40s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to lower 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$


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