Severe Weather Threats Across the Plains; Dangerous Heat and Wildfire Concerns for the West; Watching the Tropics

Severe thunderstorms are expected across the Central Plains accompanied by damaging wind gusts and large hail. In addition, heavy rainfall may lead to instances of flash flooding from the Plains and mid-Atlantic regions. The heavy rainfall threat continues across Florida and across the northern Gulf as we monitor a tropical disturbance tracking westward. Critical fire weather for the Great Basin. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

San Luis Valley Regional Airport (KALS)

Lat: 37.44°NLon: 105.86°WElev: 7536ft.

Fair

72°F

22°C

Humidity 38%
Wind Speed SE 6 mph
Barometer 30.30 in (1016.0 mb)
Dewpoint 45°F (7°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 15 Jul 10:52 am MDT
Extended Forecast for

Jaroso CO

  • Today

    Today: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. West northwest wind 5 to 15 mph becoming north in the afternoon.  New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 85 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 51. Northwest wind 10 to 15 mph becoming light and variable  in the evening.  New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 51 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly after noon.  High near 85. Light and variable wind becoming north northwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 85 °F

    Sunny then
    Showers

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. North wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable  after midnight.  New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 48 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm between noon and 3pm, then showers and thunderstorms after 3pm.  High near 81. Light and variable wind becoming south southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 81 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight, then a slight chance of showers.  Low around 49. South wind 5 to 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 49 °F

    Showers then
    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Friday

    Friday: Showers and thunderstorms likely after noon.  Partly sunny, with a high near 81. South wind 5 to 15 mph becoming west in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 81 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then T-storms
    Likely

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 50. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

    Low: 50 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms likely after noon.  Partly sunny, with a high near 81. South southwest wind around 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 81 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then T-storms
    Likely

Detailed Forecast

Today
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. West northwest wind 5 to 15 mph becoming north in the afternoon. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 51. Northwest wind 10 to 15 mph becoming light and variable in the evening. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly after noon. High near 85. Light and variable wind becoming north northwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. North wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm between noon and 3pm, then showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. High near 81. Light and variable wind becoming south southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight, then a slight chance of showers. Low around 49. South wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday
Showers and thunderstorms likely after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 81. South wind 5 to 15 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Friday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 50. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Saturday
Showers and thunderstorms likely after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 81. South southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 49. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south southeast after midnight.
Monday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Jaroso CO
 37°N 105.63°W (Elev. 7582 ft)
9:48 am MDT Jul 15, 2025
11am MDT Jul 15, 2025-6pm MDT Jul 21, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database