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Severe Weather Threats Across the Plains; Dangerous Heat and Wildfire Concerns for the West; Watching the Tropics

Severe thunderstorms are expected across the Central Plains accompanied by damaging wind gusts and large hail. In addition, heavy rainfall may lead to instances of flash flooding from the Plains and mid-Atlantic regions. The heavy rainfall threat continues across Florida and across the northern Gulf as we monitor a tropical disturbance tracking westward. Critical fire weather for the Great Basin. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Tappahannock-Essex County Airport (KXSA)

Lat: 37.86°NLon: 76.89°WElev: 135ft.

Overcast

75°F

24°C

Humidity 100%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 30.10 in
Dewpoint 75°F (24°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 15 Jul 7:35 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

2 Miles E Stevensville VA

Flood Watch July 15, 07:47am until July 16, 12:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch July 15, 07:47am until July 16, 12:00am

    NOW until 12:00am Wed

    Flood Watch

  • Today

    High: 87 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms
    Likely

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 73 °F

    T-storms
    Likely then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. Southwest wind 5 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 89 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. South wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 76 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 94. Southwest wind around 8 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 94 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 77 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Friday

    Friday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 93 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 73 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

Today
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 87. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Wednesday
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. Southwest wind 5 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. South wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 94. Southwest wind around 8 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Saturday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
2 Miles E Stevensville VA
 37.73°N 76.88°W (Elev. 98 ft)
Last Update:
5:25 am EDT Jul 15, 2025
Forecast Valid:
7am EDT Jul 15, 2025-6pm EDT Jul 21, 2025
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation