Heat Wave and Severe Thunderstorms this Independence Day

A prolonged, dangerous heat wave will persist through the Independence Day weekend across the Ohio Valley, Midwest, and Mid-Atlantic. Numerous temperature records are expected. Clusters of severe thunderstorms will move across parts of the Allegheny Plateau into Mid Atlantic this Independence Day, with potential for widespread damaging winds. Additional severe thunderstorms in the Great Plains. Read More >

Current conditions at

Eagles Nest Airport (KW13)

Lat: 38.08°NLon: 78.94°WElev: 1437ft.

Fair

66°F

19°C

Humidity 100%
Wind Speed S 3 mph
Barometer 30.00 in
Dewpoint 66°F (19°C)
Visibility 7.00 mi
Last update 5 Jul 4:55 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

2 Miles SW Nellysford VA

  • Today

    Today: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm.  Patchy fog before 8am.  Otherwise, increasing clouds, with a high near 91. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 91 °F

    Patchy Fog
    then Showers
    Likely

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before midnight.  Patchy fog after 2am.  Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 71 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms and
    Patchy Fog

  • Monday

    Monday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm.  Patchy fog before 9am.  Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 86. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 86 °F

    Patchy Fog
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm between 8pm and 2am, then a chance of showers after 2am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall.  Low around 70. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 70 °F

    Heavy Rain
    then Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A chance of showers before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  High near 82. Light and variable wind.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 82 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Showers

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then showers likely.  Low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 68 °F

    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 8am.  Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 81 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 69 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 85 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

Today
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, increasing clouds, with a high near 91. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before midnight. Patchy fog after 2am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 86. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday Night
Showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm between 8pm and 2am, then a chance of showers after 2am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low around 70. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Tuesday
A chance of showers before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 82. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then showers likely. Low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Wednesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Basemap Options
Click map to change the forecast location
Loading map...

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
2 Miles SW Nellysford VA
 37.82°N 78.91°W (Elev. 1680 ft)
4:53 am EDT Jul 5, 2026
5am EDT Jul 5, 2026-6pm EDT Jul 11, 2026
 
Get as KML Get as XML

Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database