National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heat Wave and Severe Thunderstorms this Independence Day

A prolonged, dangerous heat wave will persist through the Independence Day weekend across the Ohio Valley, Midwest, and Mid-Atlantic. Numerous temperature records are expected. Clusters of severe thunderstorms will move across parts of the Allegheny Plateau into Mid Atlantic this Independence Day, with potential for widespread damaging winds. Additional severe thunderstorms in the Great Plains. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Eagles Nest Airport (KW13)

Lat: 38.08°NLon: 78.94°WElev: 1437ft.

Fair

66°F

19°C

Humidity 99%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 30.01 in
Dewpoint 66°F (19°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 5 Jul 6:35 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

Nellysford VA

  • Today

    Today: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, increasing clouds, with a high near 91. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 91 °F

    Patchy Fog
    then Showers
    Likely

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before midnight. Patchy fog after 1am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 72 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms and
    Patchy Fog

  • Monday

    Monday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 87. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 87 °F

    Patchy Fog
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then a chance of showers. Low around 70. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 70 °F

    T-storms then
    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A chance of showers before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 83. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 83 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Showers

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then a slight chance of showers. Low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 69 °F

    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 82. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 82 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 69 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 86 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

Today
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, increasing clouds, with a high near 91. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before midnight. Patchy fog after 1am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 87. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then a chance of showers. Low around 70. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Tuesday
A chance of showers before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 83. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then a slight chance of showers. Low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Wednesday
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 82. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Basemap Options
Click map to change the forecast location
Loading map...
Forecast Area
Tiles ©ESRI

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Nellysford VA
 37.84°N 78.88°W (Elev. 1916 ft)
Last Update:
4:53 am EDT Jul 5, 2026
Forecast Valid:
6am EDT Jul 5, 2026-6pm EDT Jul 11, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
Get as KML Get as XML

Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation