National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Erin Strengthens to a Hurricane; Heavy Rainfall Possible in Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, the Upper Midwest, South Texas

Hurricane Erin may bring isolated flash and urban flooding, landslides or mudslides, and possible tropical storm conditions to Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands this weekend. Scattered thunderstorms and heavy rainfall may bring areas of flooding this weekend over the Upper Midwest. A tropical disturbance will bring locally heavy rain and mainly urban flash flooding to far southern Texas. Read More >

Current conditions at

Eagles Nest Airport (KW13)

Lat: 38.08°NLon: 78.94°WElev: 1437ft.

Fair

81°F

27°C

Humidity 69%
Wind Speed SE 7 mph
Barometer 30.11 in
Dewpoint 69°F (21°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index84°F (29°C)
Last update 16 Aug 7:55 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles ENE Nellysford VA

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Patchy fog after 4am. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 69. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 69 °F

    Scattered
    T-storms then
    Patchy Fog

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, sunny, with a high near 93. Calm wind.

    High: 93 °F

    Patchy Fog
    then Mostly
    Sunny

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Patchy fog after 4am. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 71. Calm wind.

    Low: 71 °F

    Partly Cloudy
    then Patchy
    Fog

  • Monday

    Monday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Calm wind becoming northeast around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 87 °F

    Patchy Fog
    then Chance
    Showers

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 69 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A slight chance of showers before 8am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 84 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 68 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 87 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a chance of showers between 8pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 68 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Patchy fog after 4am. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 69. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday
Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, sunny, with a high near 93. Calm wind.
Sunday Night
Patchy fog after 4am. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 71. Calm wind.
Monday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Calm wind becoming northeast around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday
A slight chance of showers before 8am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a chance of showers between 8pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Thursday
A chance of showers after 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 79. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles ENE Nellysford VA
 37.86°N 78.85°W (Elev. 827 ft)
Last Update:
7:29 pm EDT Aug 16, 2025
Forecast Valid:
7pm EDT Aug 16, 2025-6pm EDT Aug 23, 2025
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation