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Severe Weather Threats Across the Plains; Dangerous Heat and Wildfire Concerns for the West; Watching the Tropics

Severe thunderstorms are expected across the Central Plains accompanied by damaging wind gusts and large hail. In addition, heavy rainfall may lead to instances of flash flooding from the Plains and mid-Atlantic regions. The heavy rainfall threat continues across Florida and across the northern Gulf as we monitor a tropical disturbance tracking westward. Critical fire weather for the Great Basin. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Tappahannock-Essex County Airport (KXSA)

Lat: 37.86°NLon: 76.89°WElev: 135ft.

Mostly Cloudy

85°F

29°C

Humidity 74%
Wind Speed SE 5 mph
Barometer 30.08 in
Dewpoint 76°F (24°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index94°F (34°C)
Last update 15 Jul 2:35 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles SSE Heathsville VA

Flood Watch July 15, 02:56pm until July 16, 12:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch July 15, 02:56pm until July 16, 12:00am

    NOW until 12:00am Wed

    Flood Watch

  • This Afternoon

    High: 87 °F

    T-storms
    Likely

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Light south wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 74 °F

    T-storms
    Likely then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Heat index values as high as 100. Southwest wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 90 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 77. Southwest wind 5 to 7 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 77 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 95. Southwest wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 95 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Slight
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 77 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Friday

    Friday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 92 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 73 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. South wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Light south wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Heat index values as high as 100. Southwest wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 77. Southwest wind 5 to 7 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 95. Southwest wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Saturday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
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Forecast Area
Tiles ©ESRI

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles SSE Heathsville VA
 37.87°N 76.46°W (Elev. 98 ft)
Last Update:
5:25 am EDT Jul 15, 2025
Forecast Valid:
2pm EDT Jul 15, 2025-6pm EDT Jul 21, 2025
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation