Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

Current conditions at

Eagles Nest Airport (KW13)

Lat: 38.08°NLon: 78.94°WElev: 1437ft.

Fair

64°F

18°C

Humidity 74%
Wind Speed S 3 mph
Barometer 29.84 in
Dewpoint 55°F (13°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 17 Jun 1:15 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles WNW Nellysford VA

  • Overnight

    Overnight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Calm wind.

    Low: 62 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 87. Calm wind becoming west 5 to 9 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.

    High: 87 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Increasing clouds, with a low around 69. Light southwest wind increasing to 6 to 11 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 26 mph.

    Low: 69 °F

    Increasing
    Clouds

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 93. West wind 16 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 93 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. West wind 5 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 70 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: A chance of showers before 8am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 2pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 84 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 62.

    Low: 62 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 85.

    High: 85 °F

    Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Clear, with a low around 62.

    Low: 62 °F

    Clear

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Calm wind.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 87. Calm wind becoming west 5 to 9 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Wednesday Night
Increasing clouds, with a low around 69. Light southwest wind increasing to 6 to 11 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 26 mph.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 93. West wind 16 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. West wind 5 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Juneteenth
A chance of showers before 8am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 62.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 85.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 62.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 88.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Tuesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Basemap Options
Click map to change the forecast location
Loading map...

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles WNW Nellysford VA
 37.87°N 78.93°W (Elev. 997 ft)
10:53 pm EDT Jun 16, 2026
1am EDT Jun 17, 2026-6pm EDT Jun 23, 2026
 
Get as KML Get as XML

Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database