Risks of Severe Thunderstorms and Excessive Rainfall in the Central U.S.; Fire Weather Concerns in Alaska and Southwest

An expansive storm system will bring widespread storms with a threat for flash flooding and severe weather to much of the central to eastern U.S. into early this week. Critical fire weather conditions are expected across interior Alaska this weekend. Elevated fire conditions also expected in the Southwest U.S.. Conditions will remain uncomfortably hot across the southern Plains and the Southeast. Read More >

Current conditions at

Eagles Nest Airport (KW13)

Lat: 38.08°NLon: 78.94°WElev: 1437ft.

Fair

67°F

19°C

Humidity 58%
Wind Speed SW 5 mph
Barometer 29.98 in
Dewpoint 52°F (11°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 20 Jun 10:35 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

2 Miles NNW Nellysford VA

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 63. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.

    Low: 63 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 89. Calm wind becoming west around 6 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 89 °F

    Sunny

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Increasing clouds, with a low around 67. Calm wind.

    Low: 67 °F

    Increasing
    Clouds

  • Monday

    Monday: A slight chance of showers, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  High near 92. Light south wind becoming southwest 9 to 14 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 26 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 92 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Showers

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 2am.  Low around 69. West wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 69 °F

    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A chance of showers, mainly between 8am and 2pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 87 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 64.

    Low: 64 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 86.

    High: 86 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A slight chance of showers after 2am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 65 °F

    Mostly Clear
    then Slight
    Chance
    Showers

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Mostly clear, with a low around 63. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 89. Calm wind becoming west around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Increasing clouds, with a low around 67. Calm wind.
Monday
A slight chance of showers, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 92. Light south wind becoming southwest 9 to 14 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 2am. Low around 69. West wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday
A chance of showers, mainly between 8am and 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 64.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 86.
Wednesday Night
A slight chance of showers after 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 66. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 66. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
2 Miles NNW Nellysford VA
 37.89°N 78.9°W (Elev. 801 ft)
7:52 pm EDT Jun 20, 2026
10pm EDT Jun 20, 2026-6pm EDT Jun 27, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database