National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Extremely Critical Fire Weather in the Central Plains; Active Pattern in the West

Gusty to high winds and low relative humidity will bring critical to extremely critical fire weather conditions to the central and southern Plains today into Wednesday. Use caution with any potential ignition sources. Two Pacific storms will impact the western U.S. into Wednesday with gusty winds, low elevation rain and heavy mountain snow. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Eagles Nest Airport (KW13)

Lat: 38.08°NLon: 78.94°WElev: 1437ft.

Fair

60°F

16°C

Humidity 47%
Wind Speed SW 6 mph
Barometer 30.07 in
Dewpoint 40°F (4°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 17 Feb 4:35 pm EST
Extended Forecast for

5 Miles WNW Nellysford VA

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Cloudy, with a low around 47. Southwest wind 5 to 8 mph.

    Low: 47 °F

    Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 57. West wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.

    High: 57 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. West wind 6 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.

    Low: 46 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Rain. High near 49. Light and variable wind becoming southeast around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

    High: 49 °F

    Rain

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Rain likely. Cloudy, with a low around 43. East wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 43 °F

    Rain Likely

  • Friday

    Friday: Rain likely, mainly before 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 59. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 59 °F

    Rain Likely

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40.

    Low: 40 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 51.

    High: 51 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Low: 36 °F

    Chance Rain

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Cloudy, with a low around 47. Southwest wind 5 to 8 mph.
Wednesday
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 57. West wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Wednesday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. West wind 6 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Thursday
Rain. High near 49. Light and variable wind becoming southeast around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Thursday Night
Rain likely. Cloudy, with a low around 43. East wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday
Rain likely, mainly before 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 59. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 51.
Saturday Night
A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Sunday
A chance of rain and snow before 1pm, then a chance of snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 39. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 27.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 34.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 21.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 36.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
5 Miles WNW Nellysford VA
 37.89°N 78.95°W (Elev. 2198 ft)
Last Update:
3:53 pm EST Feb 17, 2026
Forecast Valid:
4pm EST Feb 17, 2026-6pm EST Feb 24, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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High Temperature

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Chance of Precipitation