National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Storm Arthur and Heavy Rainfall in the South; Severe Weather in the Midwest

An outbreak of severe thunderstorms is expected across portions of Illinois and Indiana tonight. Intense tornadoes, swaths of damaging gusts, and hail in excess of 2 inches in diameter possible. Tropical Storm Arthur will continue to produce strong winds across coastal Upper Texas and Louisiana tonight, as well as potentially life-threatening flooding across southern Louisiana into Mississippi. Read More >

Current conditions at

Eagles Nest Airport (KW13)

Lat: 38.08°NLon: 78.94°WElev: 1437ft.

Partly Cloudy

70°F

21°C

Humidity 67%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 29.75 in
Dewpoint 58°F (14°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 18 Jun 4:55 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

4 Miles N Nellysford VA

  • Today

    Today: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 93. Heat index values as high as 100. Breezy, with a southwest wind 13 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 93 °F

    Breezy.
    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. West wind 9 to 14 mph becoming light southwest after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 68 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 10am. Cloudy through mid morning, then gradual clearing, with a high near 86. Calm wind becoming northwest 5 to 9 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 86 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 61. West wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.

    Low: 61 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 86. Light west wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.

    High: 86 °F

    Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 63.

    Low: 63 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 89.

    High: 89 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 68 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Monday

    Monday: A chance of showers, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 87. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 87 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Showers

Detailed Forecast

Today
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 93. Heat index values as high as 100. Breezy, with a southwest wind 13 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Tonight
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. West wind 9 to 14 mph becoming light southwest after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Juneteenth
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 10am. Cloudy through mid morning, then gradual clearing, with a high near 86. Calm wind becoming northwest 5 to 9 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 61. West wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 86. Light west wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 63.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 89.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday
A chance of showers, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 87. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Monday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am, then a slight chance of showers after 2am. Low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 62.
Wednesday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
4 Miles N Nellysford VA
 37.91°N 78.87°W (Elev. 830 ft)
Last Update:
4:53 am EDT Jun 18, 2026
Forecast Valid:
5am EDT Jun 18, 2026-6pm EDT Jun 24, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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High Temperature

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Chance of Precipitation