Flooding Risks from Tropical Moisture Across the Southeast and Southwest

Tropical moisture from Isaias and Rachel will impact portions of the Southeast and Southwest this weekend. Flash flooding, strong winds and even a threat for severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Meanwhile, strong winds and dry fuels are raising fire weather concerns across the central Great Basin and western High Plains. Across the northern Rockies, first winter storm of the season. Read More >

Current conditions at

Eagles Nest Airport (KW13)

Lat: 38.08°NLon: 78.94°WElev: 1437ft.

Overcast

56°F

13°C

Humidity 99%
Wind Speed NW 5 mph
Barometer 30.14 in
Dewpoint 55°F (13°C)
Visibility 7.00 mi
Last update 11 Oct 6:55 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

4 Miles NNW Nellysford VA

Flood Watch October 11, 07:08am until October 12, 02:00am
Wind Advisory October 11, 07:08am until October 11, 11:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
...
  •  
    Flood Watch October 11, 07:08am until October 12, 02:00am
    Wind Advisory October 11, 07:08am until October 11, 11:00am

    NOW: Multiple hazards in effect

    Click HERE for Details

  • Today

    High: 64 °F

    Heavy Rain

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers likely, mainly before 11pm.  Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with a low around 60. Light and variable wind becoming northwest 8 to 13 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 23 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 60 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: Sunny, with a high near 70. Northwest wind 10 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.

    High: 70 °F

    Sunny

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 55. West wind around 6 mph.

    Low: 55 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 74. Southwest wind 3 to 6 mph.

    High: 74 °F

    Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 62.

    Low: 62 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 77.

    High: 77 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 60.

    Low: 60 °F

    Mostly Clear

Detailed Forecast

Today
Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 11am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. High near 64. Northeast wind 12 to 17 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 38 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.
Tonight
Showers likely, mainly before 11pm. Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with a low around 60. Light and variable wind becoming northwest 8 to 13 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Columbus Day
Sunny, with a high near 70. Northwest wind 10 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 55. West wind around 6 mph.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 74. Southwest wind 3 to 6 mph.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 62.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 77.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 60.
Thursday
A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 66. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday Night
A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Friday
Partly sunny, with a high near 66.
Friday Night
A slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 50. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 54. Breezy.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
4 Miles NNW Nellysford VA
 37.91°N 78.92°W (Elev. 2648 ft)
4:53 am EDT Oct 11, 2026
7am EDT Oct 11, 2026-6pm EDT Oct 17, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database