Risks of Severe Thunderstorms and Excessive Rainfall in the Central U.S.; Fire Weather Concerns in Alaska and Southwest

An expansive storm system will bring widespread storms with a threat for flash flooding and severe weather to much of the central to eastern U.S. into early this week. Critical fire weather conditions are expected across interior Alaska this weekend. Elevated fire conditions also expected in the Southwest U.S.. Conditions will remain uncomfortably hot across the southern Plains and the Southeast. Read More >

Current conditions at

Eagles Nest Airport (KW13)

Lat: 38.08°NLon: 78.94°WElev: 1437ft.

Fair

66°F

19°C

Humidity 60%
Wind Speed SW 3 mph
Barometer 29.98 in
Dewpoint 52°F (11°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 20 Jun 10:55 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

5 Miles NNE Nellysford VA

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 63. Northwest wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable  after midnight.

    Low: 63 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 89. Calm wind becoming west 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 89 °F

    Sunny

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Increasing clouds, with a low around 66. Calm wind.

    Low: 66 °F

    Increasing
    Clouds

  • Monday

    Monday: A slight chance of showers, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  High near 92. Light south wind becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 92 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Showers

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am.  Low around 68. Southwest wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 68 °F

    Showers then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A slight chance of showers after 8am.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 87 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 63.

    Low: 63 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 86.

    High: 86 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A slight chance of showers after 2am.  Mostly clear, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 65 °F

    Mostly Clear
    then Slight
    Chance
    Showers

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Mostly clear, with a low around 63. Northwest wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable after midnight.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 89. Calm wind becoming west 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Increasing clouds, with a low around 66. Calm wind.
Monday
A slight chance of showers, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 92. Light south wind becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am. Low around 68. Southwest wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday
A slight chance of showers after 8am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 63.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 86.
Wednesday Night
A slight chance of showers after 2am. Mostly clear, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 8am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
5 Miles NNE Nellysford VA
 37.93°N 78.84°W (Elev. 794 ft)
10:52 pm EDT Jun 20, 2026
10pm EDT Jun 20, 2026-6pm EDT Jun 27, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database