National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Strong Storms and Heavy Rainfall Threats; Dangerous Heat for Southern Plains into the Southwest

Thunderstorms, some severe, will impact areas of the Plains into the Midwest today. Rainfall can be locally heavy as well from these storms with isolated instances of flash flooding. Monsoonal flow will enhance rainfall across the Four Corners into the central Rockies today. Meanwhile, summer heat continues for the southern Plains, Southwest into southern California. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Saguache, Saguache Municipal Airport (K04V)

Lat: 38.1°NLon: 106.17°WElev: 7825ft.

Partly Cloudy

54°F

12°C

Humidity 63%
Wind Speed W 9 mph
Barometer 30.54 in
Dewpoint 41°F (5°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Wind Chill51°F (11°C)
Last update 25 Aug 7:55 am MDT
Extended Forecast for

5 Miles NE Mirage CO

  • Today

    Today: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. South wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west northwest in the afternoon. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 82 °F

    Sunny then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 51. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming east northeast in the evening. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 51 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 81. Light and variable wind becoming east northeast 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 81 °F

    Sunny then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a chance of showers between 9pm and midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 50. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 50 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers and thunderstorms likely after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming north northeast in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 82 °F

    Sunny then
    T-storms
    Likely

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers between 9pm and midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 51. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 51 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Clear

  • Friday

    Friday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Sunny, with a high near 84. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

    High: 84 °F

    Sunny then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. South wind 5 to 10 mph.

    Low: 53 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. Southwest wind 5 to 15 mph.

    High: 84 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Slight
    Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

Today
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. South wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west northwest in the afternoon. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 51. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming east northeast in the evening. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 81. Light and variable wind becoming east northeast 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a chance of showers between 9pm and midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 50. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
Showers and thunderstorms likely after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming north northeast in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers between 9pm and midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 51. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Sunny, with a high near 84. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Friday Night
A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
Saturday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. Southwest wind 5 to 15 mph.
Saturday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. Southwest wind around 10 mph.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 80. Southwest wind around 10 mph.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Monday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 79. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
5 Miles NE Mirage CO
 38.15°N 105.8°W (Elev. 8346 ft)
Last Update:
6:41 am MDT Aug 25, 2026
Forecast Valid:
8am MDT Aug 25, 2026-6pm MDT Aug 31, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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Chance of Precipitation