National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rainfall and Flooding in the Mid-Atlantic; Heat and Wildfire Concerns in the West

Slow moving showers and thunderstorms may result in flash flooding for portions of the mid-Atlantic region through tonight. Meanwhile, excessive heat will continue to build across the West through Tuesday. Heat Advisories and Extreme Heat Warnings are in effect. Fire Weather concerns continue for the West with dry and breezy conditions. Watching the tropics across the Southeast. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Tappahannock-Essex County Airport (KXSA)

Lat: 37.86°NLon: 76.89°WElev: 135ft.

Mostly Cloudy

73°F

23°C

Humidity 100%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 30.06 in
Dewpoint 73°F (23°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 15 Jul 4:55 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

5 Miles SSE Colonial Beach VA

Flood Watch July 15, 05:11am until July 16, 12:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch July 15, 05:11am until July 16, 12:00am

    NOW until 12:00am Wed

    Flood Watch

  • Overnight

    Low: 74 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 2pm and 5pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 86 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms
    Likely

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 5am, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. Light south wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 75 °F

    T-storms
    Likely then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A slight chance of showers between 7am and 8am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Southwest wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 88 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 78. South wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 78 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 93 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 78. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 78 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Friday

    Friday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 91. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 91 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tuesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 2pm and 5pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tuesday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 5am, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. Light south wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
A slight chance of showers between 7am and 8am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Southwest wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 78. South wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 78. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 91. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
5 Miles SSE Colonial Beach VA
 38.18°N 76.92°W (Elev. 3 ft)
Last Update:
3:22 am EDT Jul 15, 2025
Forecast Valid:
5am EDT Jul 15, 2025-6pm EDT Jul 21, 2025
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation