Flooding Risks from Tropical Moisture Across the Intermountain West and East Coast

Tropical moisture from Isaias and Rachel will impact portions of the Intermountain West and East Coast states. Flooding, gusty winds and even a threat for severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Meanwhile, record warmth will spread northward across the Mississippi Valley the next few days. Looking for snow, the first winter storm of the season is underway across the northern Rockies. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Staunton / Shenandoah (KSHD)

Lat: 38.27°NLon: 78.9°WElev: 1201ft.

Light Rain

56°F

13°C

Humidity 100%
Wind Speed N 8 mph
Barometer 30.07 in
Dewpoint 56°F (13°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 11 Oct 11:35 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

Churchville VA

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  High near 62. Northeast wind around 6 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 62 °F

    Showers

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 9pm, then a chance of showers.  Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with a low around 60. Calm wind.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 60 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: Sunny, with a high near 75. Light northwest wind becoming north 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.

    High: 75 °F

    Sunny

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 51. Calm wind.

    Low: 51 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 82. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 82 °F

    Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 61.

    Low: 61 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 84.

    High: 84 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 61.

    Low: 61 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A chance of showers.  Partly sunny, with a high near 72. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 72 °F

    Chance
    Showers

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 62. Northeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Tonight
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 9pm, then a chance of showers. Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with a low around 60. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Columbus Day
Sunny, with a high near 75. Light northwest wind becoming north 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 51. Calm wind.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 82. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 61.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 84.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 61.
Thursday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 72. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Friday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 74. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 53.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Churchville VA
 38.23°N 79.16°W (Elev. 1486 ft)
12:11 pm EDT Oct 11, 2026
12pm EDT Oct 11, 2026-6pm EDT Oct 17, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database