National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Risks of Severe Thunderstorms and Excessive Rainfall; Fire Weather Concerns and Record Warmth

Severe thunderstorms and flash flooding risks increase across the center of the nation today. Meanwhile, ongoing thunderstorms and flash flooding will linger along the Gulf Coast states through the evening. The Great Basin and Intermountain West, warm temperatures and dry fuels with dry lightning may enhance fire weather potential. In addition, across interior Alaska, Red Flag Warning are posted. Read More >

Current conditions at

Staunton / Shenandoah (KSHD)

Lat: 38.27°NLon: 78.9°WElev: 1201ft.

Mostly Cloudy

83°F

28°C

Humidity 28%
Wind Speed W 8 mph
Barometer 29.94 in
Dewpoint 46°F (8°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index81°F (27°C)
Last update 20 Jun 4:35 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

Churchville VA

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 59. West wind 8 to 13 mph becoming light in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph.

    Low: 59 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. Calm wind becoming west 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 86 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. Calm wind.

    Low: 64 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Monday

    Monday: A slight chance of showers before 11am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 89. Light south wind becoming southwest 9 to 14 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 89 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Showers

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers between 8pm and 2am. Low around 66. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 66 °F

    Showers then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A slight chance of showers between 8am and 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 84 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.

    Low: 60 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 84.

    High: 84 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 63 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Mostly clear, with a low around 59. West wind 8 to 13 mph becoming light in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. Calm wind becoming west 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. Calm wind.
Monday
A slight chance of showers before 11am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 89. Light south wind becoming southwest 9 to 14 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers between 8pm and 2am. Low around 66. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday
A slight chance of showers between 8am and 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 84.
Wednesday Night
A slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Churchville VA
 38.23°N 79.16°W (Elev. 1486 ft)
Last Update:
2:22 pm EDT Jun 20, 2026
Forecast Valid:
4pm EDT Jun 20, 2026-6pm EDT Jun 27, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation