National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorms and Flooding from the Southern Plains to the Great Lakes; Record Heat in the East

Widely scattered severe thunderstorms may produce damaging winds, hail, and flash flooding from the southern Plains into the lower Great Lakes. Elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions will persist across portions of the Southwest and Southern High Plains due to gusty winds and dry conditions. An early-season heatwave will challenge temperature records across the eastern U.S.. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Fredericksburg, Shannon Airport (KEZF)

Lat: 38.27°NLon: 77.45°WElev: 85ft.

Fair

96°F

36°C

Humidity 28%
Wind Speed S 8 mph
Barometer 30.04 in
Dewpoint 58°F (14°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index95°F (35°C)
Last update 19 May 5:55 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles S Chancellorsville VA

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 72. South wind 6 to 11 mph.

    Low: 72 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 96. Southwest wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 96 °F

    Sunny then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers and thunderstorms before 3am, then a slight chance of showers between 3am and 5am. Low around 59. North wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 59 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers likely, mainly between 7am and 2pm. Cloudy, with a high near 69. Northeast wind 8 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    High: 69 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers, mainly after 8pm. Low around 51. Northeast wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 51 °F

    Showers

  • Friday

    Friday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 64. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 64 °F

    Showers

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Low: 51 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 70 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Showers likely, mainly before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 58 °F

    Showers
    Likely

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Mostly clear, with a low around 72. South wind 6 to 11 mph.
Wednesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 96. Southwest wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
Showers and thunderstorms before 3am, then a slight chance of showers between 3am and 5am. Low around 59. North wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
Showers likely, mainly between 7am and 2pm. Cloudy, with a high near 69. Northeast wind 8 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Thursday Night
Showers, mainly after 8pm. Low around 51. Northeast wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Friday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 64. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Friday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday
Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Saturday Night
Showers likely, mainly before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Memorial Day
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 80. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Tuesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 81. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles S Chancellorsville VA
 38.26°N 77.65°W (Elev. 299 ft)
Last Update:
6:07 pm EDT May 19, 2026
Forecast Valid:
6pm EDT May 19, 2026-6pm EDT May 26, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation