Heat Wave and Severe Thunderstorms this Independence Day

A prolonged, dangerous heat wave will persist through the Independence Day weekend across the Ohio Valley, Midwest, and Mid-Atlantic. Numerous temperature records are expected. Clusters of severe thunderstorms will move across parts of the Allegheny Plateau into Mid Atlantic this Independence Day, with potential for widespread damaging winds. Additional severe thunderstorms in the Great Plains. Read More >

Current conditions at

Charlottesville-Albemarle Airport (KCHO)

Lat: 38.14°NLon: 78.46°WElev: 640ft.

Fair

91°F

33°C

Humidity 54%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 30.03 in (1015.7 mb)
Dewpoint 72°F (22°C)
Visibility 9.00 mi
Heat Index99°F (37°C)
Last update 4 Jul 9:53 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

2 Miles W Stanardsville VA

Extreme Heat Warning until July 4, 09:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Extreme Heat Warning
  •  
    Extreme Heat Warning until July 4, 09:00pm

    NOW until 9:00pm Sat

    Extreme Heat Warning

  • Independence Day

    High: 98 °F

    Sunny then
    Severe
    Thunderstorms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 1am. Some of the storms could be severe.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. Calm wind.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 73 °F

    Severe
    Thunderstorms
    then
    Scattered
    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 4pm.  Patchy fog before 8am.  Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Heat index values as high as 103. Calm wind becoming southeast around 6 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 94 °F

    Patchy Fog
    then Chance
    Showers

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then a chance of showers.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Light northeast wind.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 71 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Monday

    Monday: A chance of showers before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  High near 87. Light east wind.  Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    High: 87 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Showers

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then a slight chance of showers.  Low around 70. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 70 °F

    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A slight chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 85 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 69 °F

    Showers
    Likely

Detailed Forecast

Independence Day
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 3pm. Some of the storms could be severe. Increasing clouds and hot, with a high near 98. Heat index values as high as 109. Calm wind becoming southwest around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 1am. Some of the storms could be severe. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 4pm. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Heat index values as high as 103. Calm wind becoming southeast around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then a chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Light northeast wind. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday
A chance of showers before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 87. Light east wind. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Monday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then a slight chance of showers. Low around 70. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday
A slight chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Wednesday
A chance of showers, mainly after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Basemap Options
Click map to change the forecast location
Loading map...

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
2 Miles W Stanardsville VA
 38.3°N 78.49°W (Elev. 791 ft)
10:30 am EDT Jul 4, 2026
10am EDT Jul 4, 2026-6pm EDT Jul 10, 2026
 
Get as KML Get as XML

Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database