Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

Current conditions at

Stafford, Stafford Regional Airport (KRMN)

Lat: 38.4°NLon: 77.46°WElev: 213ft.

Fair

83°F

28°C

Humidity 36%
Wind Speed S 5 mph
Barometer 29.81 in
Dewpoint 53°F (12°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index82°F (28°C)
Last update 17 Jun 11:15 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

2 Miles SSE Falmouth VA

  • Today

    Today: Sunny, with a high near 89. Southwest wind 3 to 7 mph.

    High: 89 °F

    Sunny

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. South wind 5 to 7 mph.

    Low: 70 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 95. Heat index values as high as 102. Southwest wind 13 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.

    High: 95 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, then a chance of showers after 11pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Southwest wind 5 to 8 mph becoming calm  after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 68 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: A chance of showers before 2pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Calm wind becoming northwest 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 86 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 62.

    Low: 62 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 85.

    High: 85 °F

    Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Clear, with a low around 61.

    Low: 61 °F

    Clear

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 88.

    High: 88 °F

    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Today
Sunny, with a high near 89. Southwest wind 3 to 7 mph.
Tonight
Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. South wind 5 to 7 mph.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 95. Heat index values as high as 102. Southwest wind 13 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.
Thursday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, then a chance of showers after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Southwest wind 5 to 8 mph becoming calm after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Juneteenth
A chance of showers before 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Calm wind becoming northwest 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 62.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 85.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 61.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 88.
Sunday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, then a chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday
A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
2 Miles SSE Falmouth VA
 38.3°N 77.44°W (Elev. 105 ft)
10:53 am EDT Jun 17, 2026
11am EDT Jun 17, 2026-6pm EDT Jun 23, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

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Hourly Weather Forecast

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