National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Weather Across the Center of the Nation; Fire Weather Concerns for Southwest and California; Snow for the Central Rockies

Severe thunderstorms will continue to impact the center of the Nation through today. Very large hail, strong tornadoes, and damaging winds are expected from the Great Lakes into the central/southern Plains; Flash flooding is possible for portions into the mid-Mississippi Valley. Critical fire weather conditions for the Southwest and central valley of California today. Winter hangs on for Rockies. Read More >

Current conditions at

Fredericksburg, Shannon Airport (KEZF)

Lat: 38.27°NLon: 77.45°WElev: 85ft.

Fair

78°F

26°C

Humidity 61%
Wind Speed SW 3 mph
Barometer 30.18 in
Dewpoint 64°F (18°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index80°F (27°C)
Last update 18 May 8:55 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

4 Miles ESE Falmouth VA

  • Today

    Today: Sunny, with a high near 94. South wind 5 to 8 mph.

    High: 94 °F

    Sunny

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 70. Southwest wind around 7 mph.

    Low: 70 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 96. Southwest wind 7 to 9 mph.

    High: 96 °F

    Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 71. South wind around 8 mph.

    Low: 71 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 96. Southwest wind 5 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 96 °F

    Sunny then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 59. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 59 °F

    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 69. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 69 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers likely, mainly after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 53 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Friday

    Friday: Showers likely, mainly before 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 65 °F

    Showers
    Likely

Detailed Forecast

Today
Sunny, with a high near 94. South wind 5 to 8 mph.
Tonight
Mostly clear, with a low around 70. Southwest wind around 7 mph.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 96. Southwest wind 7 to 9 mph.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 71. South wind around 8 mph.
Wednesday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 96. Southwest wind 5 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Wednesday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 59. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Thursday
Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 69. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Thursday Night
Showers likely, mainly after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday
Showers likely, mainly before 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Friday Night
Showers likely, mainly between 8pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Saturday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 80. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
4 Miles ESE Falmouth VA
 38.32°N 77.41°W (Elev. 197 ft)
Last Update:
7:53 am EDT May 18, 2026
Forecast Valid:
9am EDT May 18, 2026-6pm EDT May 24, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation