National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Critical Fire Weather in the Plains; Severe Thunderstorms in the Upper Mississippi Valley and Great Lakes

Anomalously warm, dry and breezy conditions will bring elevated to critical fire weather conditions across portions of the Intermountain West into the central and southern Plains today. Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible across portions of the upper Mississippi River Valley to the Great Lakes tonight through the day Tuesday. Damaging gusts, hail, and heavy rainfall are likely. Read More >

Current conditions at

Fredericksburg, Shannon Airport (KEZF)

Lat: 38.27°NLon: 77.45°WElev: 85ft.

Overcast

58°F

14°C

Humidity 67%
Wind Speed SW 10 mph
Barometer 30.33 in
Dewpoint 47°F (8°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 30 Mar 10:15 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

4 Miles ESE Falmouth VA

  • Today

    Today: Showers likely, mainly before noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 72. Southwest wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    High: 72 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Isolated
    Showers

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Isolated showers after 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 57. Southwest wind 8 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 57 °F

    Partly Cloudy
    then Isolated
    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 82. Southwest wind 10 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.

    High: 82 °F

    Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. South wind around 11 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.

    Low: 63 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. Southwest wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 85 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Showers
    Likely

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 59 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A chance of showers after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 78. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 78 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A chance of showers before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 60 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Friday

    Friday: A chance of showers after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 82. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 82 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then Chance
    Showers

Detailed Forecast

Today
Showers likely, mainly before noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 72. Southwest wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Tonight
Isolated showers after 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 57. Southwest wind 8 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 82. Southwest wind 10 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. South wind around 11 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Wednesday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. Southwest wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Wednesday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday
A chance of showers after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 78. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
A chance of showers after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 82. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Sunday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
4 Miles ESE Falmouth VA
 38.32°N 77.41°W (Elev. 197 ft)
Last Update:
10:15 am EDT Mar 30, 2026
Forecast Valid:
10am EDT Mar 30, 2026-6pm EDT Apr 5, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation