National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Extremely Critical Fire Weather in the Central Plains; Active Pattern in the West

Gusty to high winds and low relative humidity will bring critical to extremely critical fire weather conditions to the central and southern Plains today into Wednesday. Use caution with any potential ignition sources. Two Pacific storms will impact the western U.S. into Wednesday with gusty winds, low elevation rain and heavy mountain snow. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Staunton / Shenandoah (KSHD)

Lat: 38.27°NLon: 78.9°WElev: 1201ft.

Fair

56°F

13°C

Humidity 55%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 30.15 in
Dewpoint 40°F (4°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 17 Feb 11:35 am EST
Extended Forecast for

5 Miles ESE McGaheysville VA

  • Today

    Today: Partly sunny, with a high near 57. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 57 °F

    Partly Sunny

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Cloudy, with a low around 44. Southwest wind 3 to 5 mph.

    Low: 44 °F

    Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 60. Southwest wind 6 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.

    High: 60 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 43. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph.

    Low: 43 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Rain likely, mainly after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 58. Calm wind becoming southeast around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 58 °F

    Chance Rain
    then Rain
    Likely

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Rain likely, mainly after 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 44. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 44 °F

    Rain Likely

  • Friday

    Friday: Rain likely before 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 57. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 57 °F

    Rain Likely

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 40.

    Low: 40 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A chance of rain before 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 50. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 50 °F

    Chance Rain

Detailed Forecast

Today
Partly sunny, with a high near 57. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Tonight
Cloudy, with a low around 44. Southwest wind 3 to 5 mph.
Wednesday
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 60. Southwest wind 6 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 43. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph.
Thursday
Rain likely, mainly after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 58. Calm wind becoming southeast around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday Night
Rain likely, mainly after 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 44. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday
Rain likely before 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 57. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 40.
Saturday
A chance of rain before 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 50. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday Night
A chance of rain before 1am, then a chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Sunday
A chance of rain and snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 42. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Sunday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 36.
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Forecast Area
Tiles ©ESRI

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
5 Miles ESE McGaheysville VA
 38.34°N 78.66°W (Elev. 1913 ft)
Last Update:
9:53 am EST Feb 17, 2026
Forecast Valid:
11am EST Feb 17, 2026-6pm EST Feb 23, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation