National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorms and Heavy Rainfall Today from the Central Plains into the Tennessee Valley

Severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds will be possible from the Ozark Plateau east into portions of the Southeast today. Rounds of heavy thunderstorms ahead of a slow moving front will continue locally heavy rainfall and scattered flash flooding potential from the Ozarks to the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys today. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Stafford, Stafford Regional Airport (KRMN)

Lat: 38.4°NLon: 77.46°WElev: 213ft.

Overcast

75°F

24°C

Humidity 89%
Wind Speed N 3 mph
Barometer 30.02 in
Dewpoint 71°F (22°C)
Visibility 7.00 mi
Last update 12 Jul 3:35 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles W Falmouth VA

  • Overnight

    Overnight: A chance of showers, mainly before 5am. Cloudy, with a low around 68. North wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 68 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 1pm and 4pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4pm. Cloudy, with a high near 82. Northeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 82 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a slight chance of showers between 2am and 3am. Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with a low around 65. Light east wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 65 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Monday

    Monday: Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Calm wind becoming east 5 to 7 mph in the morning.

    High: 81 °F

    Partly Sunny

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. Calm wind.

    Low: 63 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 88.

    High: 88 °F

    Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Clear, with a low around 68.

    Low: 68 °F

    Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 96.

    High: 96 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 73.

    Low: 73 °F

    Mostly Clear

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
A chance of showers, mainly before 5am. Cloudy, with a low around 68. North wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 1pm and 4pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4pm. Cloudy, with a high near 82. Northeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a slight chance of showers between 2am and 3am. Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with a low around 65. Light east wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday
Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Calm wind becoming east 5 to 7 mph in the morning.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. Calm wind.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 88.
Tuesday Night
Clear, with a low around 68.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 96.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 73.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 95.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 71.
Friday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Friday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Saturday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
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Forecast Area
Tiles ©ESRI

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles W Falmouth VA
 38.34°N 77.52°W (Elev. 249 ft)
Last Update:
2:23 am EDT Jul 12, 2026
Forecast Valid:
3am EDT Jul 12, 2026-6pm EDT Jul 18, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation