Severe Thunderstorms and Heavy Rainfall Today from the Central Plains into the Tennessee Valley

Severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds will be possible from the Ozark Plateau east into portions of the Southeast today. Rounds of heavy thunderstorms ahead of a slow moving front will continue locally heavy rainfall and scattered flash flooding potential from the Ozarks to the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys today. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Charlottesville-Albemarle Airport (KCHO)

Lat: 38.14°NLon: 78.46°WElev: 640ft.

Fair

72°F

22°C

Humidity 91%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 30.02 in (1015.7 mb)
Dewpoint 69°F (21°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 12 Jul 12:53 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

5 Miles SSE Elkton VA

  • Overnight

    Overnight: Showers likely, mainly after 2am.  Patchy fog after 3am.  Otherwise, cloudy, with a low around 65. Light north wind.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Low: 65 °F

    Showers
    Likely and
    Patchy Fog

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 11am.  Patchy fog before 8am.  Otherwise, cloudy, with a high near 75. Northeast wind 3 to 6 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 75 °F

    T-storms
    Likely and
    Patchy Fog

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 4am, then a slight chance of showers between 4am and 5am.  Patchy fog after 3am.  Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Southeast wind around 6 mph becoming calm  after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 63 °F

    T-storms
    Likely then
    Chance
    Showers and
    Patchy Fog

  • Monday

    Monday: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm.  Patchy fog before 7am.  Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 74. Northeast wind 3 to 7 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 74 °F

    Chance
    Showers and
    Patchy Fog
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: A chance of thunderstorms before 8pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. Light and variable wind.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 61 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 82.

    High: 82 °F

    Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Clear, with a low around 65.

    Low: 65 °F

    Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 89.

    High: 89 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Clear, with a low around 69.

    Low: 69 °F

    Clear

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
Showers likely, mainly after 2am. Patchy fog after 3am. Otherwise, cloudy, with a low around 65. Light north wind. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Sunday
A chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 11am. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, cloudy, with a high near 75. Northeast wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 4am, then a slight chance of showers between 4am and 5am. Patchy fog after 3am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Southeast wind around 6 mph becoming calm after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday
A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Patchy fog before 7am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 74. Northeast wind 3 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Monday Night
A chance of thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 82.
Tuesday Night
Clear, with a low around 65.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 89.
Wednesday Night
Clear, with a low around 69.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 88.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 69.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
5 Miles SSE Elkton VA
 38.35°N 78.57°W (Elev. 1818 ft)
10:53 pm EDT Jul 11, 2026
1am EDT Jul 12, 2026-6pm EDT Jul 18, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database