National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Excessive Rainfall Areas Today; Tropical Storm Jerry Forms

Heavy to excessive rainfall is possible today and tonight ahead of and along a cold front crossing portions of Kentucky, middle Tennessee, the Ohio Valley and New Mexico. Tropical Storm Jerry, the tenth named storm of the 2025 season, has formed over the central tropical Atlantic. Jerry is expected to be near or north of the northern Leeward Islands on Thursday and Friday. Read More >

Current conditions at

Patuxent River, Naval Air Station (KNHK)

Lat: 38.28°NLon: 76.41°WElev: 39ft.

Partly Cloudy

75°F

24°C

Humidity 66%
Wind Speed S 12 mph
Barometer 30.07 in (1018.1 mb)
Dewpoint 63°F (17°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 7 Oct 5:52 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

Chesapeake Ranch Estates MD

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. South wind 10 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 68 °F

    Mostly Cloudy
    then Showers
    Likely

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 2pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. High near 71. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph becoming north in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 71 °F

    Showers

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 54. North wind 14 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

    Low: 54 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 63. North wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.

    High: 63 °F

    Sunny

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 52. Northeast wind around 10 mph.

    Low: 52 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Friday

    Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65.

    High: 65 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57.

    Low: 57 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 68.

    High: 68 °F

    Partly Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: A chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 58 °F

    Mostly Cloudy
    then Chance
    Showers

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
A chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. South wind 10 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 2pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. High near 71. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph becoming north in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 54. North wind 14 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 63. North wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 52. Northeast wind around 10 mph.
Friday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 65.
Friday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57.
Saturday
Partly sunny, with a high near 68.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 67. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Columbus Day
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 66. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 57.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 68.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Chesapeake Ranch Estates MD
 38.37°N 76.4°W (Elev. 49 ft)
Last Update:
4:29 pm EDT Oct 7, 2025
Forecast Valid:
5pm EDT Oct 7, 2025-6pm EDT Oct 14, 2025
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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Chance of Precipitation