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Flooding Risks from Tropical Moisture Across the Southeast and Southwest

Tropical moisture from Isaias and Rachel will impact portions of the Southeast and Southwest this weekend. Flash flooding, strong winds and even a threat for severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Meanwhile, strong winds and dry fuels are raising fire weather concerns across the central Great Basin and western High Plains. Across the northern Rockies, first winter storm of the season. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Staunton / Shenandoah (KSHD)

Lat: 38.27°NLon: 78.9°WElev: 1201ft.

Overcast

64°F

18°C

Humidity 55%
Wind Speed NE 6 mph
Barometer 30.37 in
Dewpoint 48°F (9°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 10 Oct 2:55 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

McGaheysville VA

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: A chance of showers, mainly before 4pm. Cloudy, with a high near 65. East wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 65 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers, mainly after 10pm. Low around 56. East wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

    Low: 56 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 68. Northeast wind around 6 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.

    High: 68 °F

    Showers

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then a chance of showers. Low around 60. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 60 °F

    Showers

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 73. Northwest wind 5 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.

    High: 73 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 53.

    Low: 53 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 80.

    High: 80 °F

    Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 61.

    Low: 61 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 80.

    High: 80 °F

    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
A chance of showers, mainly before 4pm. Cloudy, with a high near 65. East wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Tonight
Showers, mainly after 10pm. Low around 56. East wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Sunday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 68. Northeast wind around 6 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.
Sunday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then a chance of showers. Low around 60. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Columbus Day
Mostly sunny, with a high near 73. Northwest wind 5 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 53.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 80.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 61.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 80.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 57.
Thursday
A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 70. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday Night
A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Friday
A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 69. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Friday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 60.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
McGaheysville VA
 38.37°N 78.74°W (Elev. 1102 ft)
Last Update:
2:23 pm EDT Oct 10, 2026
Forecast Valid:
3pm EDT Oct 10, 2026-6pm EDT Oct 17, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation