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Watching Hurricane Erin; Heavy Rainfall Threat for Upper Midwest; Heatrisk for Mississippi Valley

Hurricane Erin continues to track westward with its outer bands bringing heavy rainfall and gusty winds for Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands. Life-threatening surf and rip currents are occurring and will spread across the Atlantic coasts this week. Meanwhile, heavy rainfall and possible flooding are in the forecast for upper Midwest through Monday. Heatrisk continues for the Mississippi Valley. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Fredericksburg, Shannon Airport (KEZF)

Lat: 38.27°NLon: 77.45°WElev: 85ft.

Fair

91°F

33°C

Humidity 53%
Wind Speed SE 3 mph
Barometer 29.93 in
Dewpoint 71°F (22°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index98°F (37°C)
Last update 17 Aug 1:35 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles WNW Stafford Regional Airport VA

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: Mostly sunny, with a high near 95. Heat index values as high as 100. Light west wind.

    High: 95 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 70 °F

    Scattered
    T-storms then
    Mostly Cloudy

  • Monday

    Monday: A slight chance of showers after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 82. North wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 82 °F

    Mostly Cloudy
    then Slight
    Chance
    Showers

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: A chance of showers, mainly before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. Northeast wind around 6 mph becoming calm after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 67 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A chance of showers, mainly after 8am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 79. Northeast wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 79 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67.

    Low: 67 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Partly sunny, with a high near 84.

    High: 84 °F

    Partly Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 66.

    Low: 66 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 84.

    High: 84 °F

    Mostly Sunny

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Mostly sunny, with a high near 95. Heat index values as high as 100. Light west wind.
Tonight
Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday
A slight chance of showers after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 82. North wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Monday Night
A chance of showers, mainly before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. Northeast wind around 6 mph becoming calm after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday
A chance of showers, mainly after 8am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 79. Northeast wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67.
Wednesday
Partly sunny, with a high near 84.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 66.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 84.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 64.
Friday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 85.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 65.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 86.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles WNW Stafford Regional Airport VA
 38.42°N 77.5°W (Elev. 249 ft)
Last Update:
1:29 pm EDT Aug 17, 2025
Forecast Valid:
1pm EDT Aug 17, 2025-6pm EDT Aug 23, 2025
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation