National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heat Wave and Severe Thunderstorms this Independence Day

A prolonged, dangerous heat wave will persist through the Independence Day weekend across the Ohio Valley, Midwest, and Mid-Atlantic. Numerous temperature records are expected. Clusters of severe thunderstorms will move across parts of the Allegheny Plateau into Mid Atlantic this Independence Day, with potential for widespread damaging winds. Additional severe thunderstorms in the Great Plains. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Charlottesville-Albemarle Airport (KCHO)

Lat: 38.14°NLon: 78.46°WElev: 640ft.

Fair

73°F

23°C

Humidity 90%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 29.96 in (1013.9 mb)
Dewpoint 70°F (21°C)
Visibility 7.00 mi
Last update 5 Jul 7:53 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

Graves Mill VA

Heat Advisory July 5, 10:00am until July 5, 08:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Heat Advisory

  • Today

    Today: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 5pm. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, increasing clouds, with a high near 92. Heat index values as high as 101. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 92 °F

    Patchy Fog
    then T-storms
    Likely

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 2am, then a slight chance of showers between 2am and 3am. Patchy fog after midnight. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 70 °F

    T-storms
    Likely then
    Chance
    Showers and
    Patchy Fog

  • Monday

    Monday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 5pm. Patchy fog before 10am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 87. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 87 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms and
    Patchy Fog
    then T-storms
    Likely

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 7pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm between 7pm and 2am, then a chance of showers after 2am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low around 68. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 68 °F

    Heavy Rain
    then Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A chance of showers before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 84. Light east wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 84 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Showers

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then a slight chance of showers. Low around 67. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 67 °F

    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 83 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 68 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 88 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

Today
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 5pm. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, increasing clouds, with a high near 92. Heat index values as high as 101. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 2am, then a slight chance of showers between 2am and 3am. Patchy fog after midnight. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 5pm. Patchy fog before 10am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 87. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Monday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 7pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm between 7pm and 2am, then a chance of showers after 2am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low around 68. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Tuesday
A chance of showers before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 84. Light east wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then a slight chance of showers. Low around 67. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Wednesday
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Saturday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Graves Mill VA
 38.42°N 78.36°W (Elev. 801 ft)
Last Update:
7:54 am EDT Jul 5, 2026
Forecast Valid:
7am EDT Jul 5, 2026-6pm EDT Jul 11, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation