National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorms and Flooding from the Southern Plains to the Great Lakes; Record Heat in the East

Widely scattered severe thunderstorms may produce damaging winds, hail, and flash flooding from the southern Plains into the lower Great Lakes. Elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions will persist across portions of the Southwest and Southern High Plains due to gusty winds and dry conditions. An early-season heatwave will challenge temperature records across the eastern U.S.. Read More >

Current conditions at

Stafford, Stafford Regional Airport (KRMN)

Lat: 38.4°NLon: 77.46°WElev: 213ft.

Fair

77°F

25°C

Humidity 53%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 30.03 in
Dewpoint 58°F (14°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index79°F (26°C)
Last update 20 May 3:15 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

Stafford VA

  • Overnight

    Overnight: Mostly clear, with a low around 72. Southwest wind around 6 mph.

    Low: 72 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Increasing clouds and hot, with a high near 99. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 99 °F

    Sunny then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 1am and 2am, then a chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. North wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 61 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Cloudy, with a high near 70. Northeast wind 7 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 70 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm, then showers after 8pm. Low around 52. Northeast wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 52 °F

    Showers

  • Friday

    Friday: Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. High near 64. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    High: 64 °F

    Showers

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Low: 51 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers. High near 69. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 69 °F

    Showers

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Showers likely, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 56 °F

    Showers
    Likely

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
Mostly clear, with a low around 72. Southwest wind around 6 mph.
Wednesday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Increasing clouds and hot, with a high near 99. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 1am and 2am, then a chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. North wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Cloudy, with a high near 70. Northeast wind 7 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Thursday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm, then showers after 8pm. Low around 52. Northeast wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Friday
Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. High near 64. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Friday Night
Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday
Showers. High near 69. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Saturday Night
Showers likely, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday
A chance of showers after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 74. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Memorial Day
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 82. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Stafford VA
 38.44°N 77.42°W (Elev. 95 ft)
Last Update:
2:22 am EDT May 20, 2026
Forecast Valid:
3am EDT May 20, 2026-6pm EDT May 26, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation